NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL
Bristol Motor Speedway, April 14, 2018
Ryan Preece
Winner
300
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders
Ryan Preece won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 14, 2018, leading 39 of 300 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 14, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Ryan Preece |
| 2 | 2 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Elliott Sadler |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 6 | 6 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Tyler Reddick |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Cole Custer |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Ryan Truex |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Alex Labbe |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Austin Cindric |
| 13 | 5 | -8 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | Shane Lee |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Ryan Sieg |
| 16 | 28 | +12 | Joey Gase |
| 17 | 35 | +18 | Garrett Smithley |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Ryan Reed |
| 19 | 30 | +11 | Joe Nemechek |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | B.J. McLeod |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Michael Annett |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Josh Williams |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Chase Briscoe |
| 24 | 40 | +16 | David Starr |
| 25 | 37 | +12 | Spencer Boyd |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Timmy Hill |
| 28 | 38 | +10 | Stephen Leicht |
| 29 | 3 | -26 | Christopher Bell |
| 30 | 39 | +9 | Cody Ware |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | Dylan Lupton |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Vinnie Miller |
| 34 | 14 | -20 | Ty Majeski |
| 35 | 11 | -24 | Matt Tifft |
| 36 | 29 | -7 | Chad Finchum |
| 37 | 20 | -17 | J.J. Yeley |
| 38 | 17 | -21 | Kaz Grala |
| 39 | 24 | -15 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 19 | -21 | Jeremy Clements |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Preece | 12.6 | 1 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 18.0 | 2 | +16.0 |
| 7 | Tyler Reddick | 12.0 | 7 | +5.0 |
| 8 | Cole Custer | 22.1 | 8 | +14.1 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 9 | +3.6 |
| 10 | Ryan Truex | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 12 | Austin Cindric | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 13 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.0 | 13 | +6.0 |
| 16 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 16 | +6.0 |
| 20 | B.J. McLeod | 24.9 | 20 | +4.9 |
| 23 | Chase Briscoe | 8.6 | 23 | -14.4 |
| 24 | David Starr | 20.2 | 24 | -3.8 |
| 27 | Timmy Hill | 23.1 | 27 | -3.9 |
| 29 | Christopher Bell | 8.3 | 29 | -20.7 |
| 30 | Cody Ware | 37.3 | 30 | +7.3 |
| 32 | Josh Bilicki | 28.1 | 32 | -3.9 |
| 36 | Chad Finchum | 24.9 | 36 | -11.1 |
| 37 | J.J. Yeley | 27.3 | 37 | -9.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Preece: has 16 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P29 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P18. Track history: 28 starts, 12.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL?
Ryan Preece won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 14, 2018.