NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA
Daytona International Speedway — February 17, 2018
Tyler Reddick
Winner
143
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders
Tyler Reddick won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway on February 17, 2018, leading 11 of 143 laps. Elliott Sadler finished second; Ryan Reed rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 17, 2018
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Tyler Reddick |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | Elliott Sadler |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Ryan Reed |
| 4 | 27 | +23 | Kaz Grala |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | Garrett Smithley |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Ryan Truex |
| 8 | 17 | +9 | Daniel Suarez |
| 9 | 23 | +14 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Brandon Jones |
| 11 | 31 | +20 | Jeff Green |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 30 | +17 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 14 | 14 | — | Cole Custer |
| 15 | 35 | +20 | Stephen Leicht |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 17 | 32 | +15 | David Starr |
| 18 | 37 | +19 | J.J. Yeley |
| 19 | 39 | +20 | Matt Tifft |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Vinnie Miller |
| 21 | 21 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 22 | 40 | +18 | Josh Williams |
| 23 | 16 | -7 | Joe Nemechek |
| 24 | 22 | -2 | Alex Labbe |
| 25 | 34 | +9 | Spencer Boyd |
| 26 | 1 | -25 | Daniel Hemric |
| 27 | 20 | -7 | Dylan Lupton |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Chad Finchum |
| 29 | 2 | -27 | Kyle Larson |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | Ryan Ellis |
| 31 | 5 | -26 | Justin Allgaier |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Austin Dillon |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Joey Gase |
| 34 | 3 | -31 | Joey Logano |
| 35 | 12 | -23 | Aric Almirola |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Brandon Brown |
| 37 | 7 | -30 | Michael Annett |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Gray Gaulding |
| 39 | 13 | -26 | Christopher Bell |
| 40 | 10 | -30 | Austin Cindric |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 1 | +12.6 |
| 7 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 7 | +13.5 |
| 8 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 8 | +7.1 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 9 | +8.4 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 12 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 17 | David Starr | 21.1 | 17 | +4.1 |
| 18 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 18 | +7.2 |
| 28 | Chad Finchum | 22.9 | 28 | -5.1 |
| 29 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 29 | -10.5 |
| 31 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 31 | -9.9 |
| 32 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 32 | -8.6 |
| 33 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 33 | -9.3 |
| 34 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 34 | -13.5 |
| 39 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 39 | -21.6 |
| 40 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 40 | -19.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick: has 17 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 13.9 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
- Ryan Truex: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P21. Track history: 12 starts, 14.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA?
Tyler Reddick won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 17, 2018.