NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA
Talladega Superspeedway — April 28, 2018
Spencer Gallagher
Winner
115
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders
Spencer Gallagher won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway on April 28, 2018, leading 1 of 115 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 28, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 2 | 15 | +13 | Brandon Jones |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 20 | +16 | Noah Gragson |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 22 | +16 | Ryan Sieg |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 8 | 8 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 34 | +24 | Garrett Smithley |
| 11 | 27 | +16 | J.J. Yeley |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 13 | 35 | +22 | Jeff Green |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Michael Annett |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Shane Lee |
| 16 | 16 | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Vinnie Miller |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | B.J. McLeod |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | Kaz Grala |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Joey Gase |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Ryan Reed |
| 23 | 1 | -22 | Daniel Hemric |
| 24 | 21 | -3 | Alex Labbe |
| 25 | 10 | -15 | Matt Tifft |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Josh Williams |
| 27 | 38 | +11 | Timmy Hill |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 29 | 39 | +10 | Jennifer Cobb |
| 30 | 11 | -19 | Austin Cindric |
| 31 | 23 | -8 | Joe Nemechek |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | David Starr |
| 33 | 40 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 34 | 26 | -8 | Ross Chastain |
| 35 | 24 | -11 | Jeremy Clements |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | Dylan Lupton |
| 37 | 14 | -23 | Ty Majeski |
| 38 | 9 | -29 | Ryan Truex |
| 39 | 36 | -3 | Chad Finchum |
| 40 | 30 | -10 | Spencer Boyd |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 4 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 4 | +20.0 |
| 7 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 7 | +13.5 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 8 | +5.6 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 9 | +14.4 |
| 11 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 11 | +14.2 |
| 12 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 12 | +5.4 |
| 16 | Chase Briscoe | 21.7 | 16 | +5.7 |
| 19 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 19 | +6.5 |
| 21 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 21 | +2.7 |
| 27 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 27 | -4.2 |
| 28 | Josh Bilicki | 25.5 | 28 | -2.5 |
| 30 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 30 | -9.9 |
| 32 | David Starr | 21.1 | 32 | -10.9 |
| 34 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 34 | -16.6 |
| 38 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 38 | -17.5 |
| 39 | Chad Finchum | 22.9 | 39 | -16.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Spencer Gallagher: has 6 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.1 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P24. Track history: 18 starts, 13.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA?
Spencer Gallagher won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 28, 2018.