Consumers Energy 400
Michigan International Speedway — August 11, 2019
Kevin Harvick
Winner
200
Laps
22
Entries
8
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Consumers Energy 400 at Michigan International Speedway on August 11, 2019, leading 22 of 200 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 11, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 2 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 23 | +19 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 22 | +17 | Daniel Suarez |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Kyle Busch |
| 7 | 24 | +17 | Ryan Preece |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | William Byron |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Ty Dillon |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Ryan Newman |
| 13 | 4 | -9 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | Chris Buescher |
| 15 | 15 | — | Paul Menard |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | David Ragan |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 18 | — | Erik Jones |
| 19 | 19 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Kurt Busch |
| 24 | 13 | -11 | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Joey Logano | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 5 | — | 13 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 7 | 3 | — | 12 |
| Kyle Busch | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Chase Elliott | 8 | 6 | — | 8 |
| Brad Keselowski | 10 | 4 | — | 8 |
| Erik Jones | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Daniel Suarez | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 5 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 5 | +9.0 |
| 6 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 7 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 7 | +3.1 |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 10 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| 11 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 11 | +12.4 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 14 | -4.8 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 17 | -2.3 |
| 18 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 18 | -1.3 |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 19 | -7.8 |
| 24 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 24 | -14.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 59 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 11.0 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P11 vs predicted P23. Track history: 18 starts, 17.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Consumers Energy 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Consumers Energy 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2019 Consumers Energy 400 held?
The 2019 Consumers Energy 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 11, 2019.