NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL
Bristol Motor Speedway — August 16, 2019
Tyler Reddick
Winner
300
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Tyler Reddick won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 16, 2019, leading 19 of 300 laps. Chase Briscoe finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, August 16, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +37 | Tyler Reddick |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Chase Briscoe |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Austin Cindric |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Gray Gaulding |
| 7 | 21 | +14 | Timmy Hill |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | Michael Annett |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Landon Cassill |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Brandon Jones |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Brandon Brown |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Shane Lee |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | Christopher Bell |
| 15 | 24 | +9 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Noah Gragson |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Matt Mills |
| 19 | 37 | +18 | Stephen Leicht |
| 20 | 32 | +12 | Joey Gase |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Vinnie Miller |
| 22 | 4 | -18 | Cole Custer |
| 23 | 35 | +12 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | David Starr |
| 25 | 14 | -11 | Ryan Sieg |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Tyler Matthews |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Garrett Smithley |
| 29 | 2 | -27 | Kyle Busch |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Josh Williams |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 32 | 7 | -25 | Jeb Burton |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Ronnie Bassett, Jr. |
| 34 | 11 | -23 | Justin Haley |
| 35 | 28 | -7 | Joe Nemechek |
| 36 | 19 | -17 | Joey Logano |
| 37 | 16 | -21 | Erik Jones |
| 38 | 27 | -11 | Mason Diaz |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 1 | +8.9 |
| 2 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 2 | +10.6 |
| 3 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 3 | +17.1 |
| 5 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 5 | +12.0 |
| 7 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 7 | +17.3 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| 14 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 14 | -5.4 |
| 16 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 16 | +12.1 |
| 17 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 17 | +6.0 |
| 20 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 20 | +2.0 |
| 22 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 22 | +1.0 |
| 24 | David Starr | 20.2 | 24 | -3.8 |
| 26 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 26 | -0.4 |
| 29 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 29 | -13.4 |
| 34 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 34 | -12.8 |
| 36 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 36 | -23.9 |
| 37 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 37 | -19.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick: has 18 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P14 on the day.
- Timmy Hill: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P24. Track history: 26 starts, 26.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL?
Tyler Reddick won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 16, 2019.