NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE

Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 25, 2019

Tyler Reddick
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders

Tyler Reddick won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 25, 2019, leading 110 of 200 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Jeffrey Earnhardt rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 25, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Tyler Reddick
2 6 +4 Justin Allgaier
3 9 +6 Jeffrey Earnhardt
4 10 +6 Noah Gragson
5 35 +30 Justin Haley
6 8 +2 Michael Annett
7 16 +9 Jeb Burton
8 12 +4 Ryan Sieg
9 7 -2 Austin Cindric
10 5 -5 Brandon Jones
11 37 +26 Ross Chastain
12 14 +2 John Hunter Nemechek
13 17 +4 Jeremy Clements
14 19 +5 Gray Gaulding
15 32 +17 Stephen Leicht
16 28 +12 Ray Black, Jr.
17 30 +13 Garrett Smithley
18 21 +3 B.J. McLeod
19 11 -8 Chase Briscoe
20 25 +5 Brandon Brown
21 26 +5 Joey Gase
22 29 +7 David Starr
23 34 +11 Vinnie Miller
24 2 -22 Cole Custer
25 24 -1 Ronnie Bassett, Jr.
26 33 +7 Matt Mills
27 22 -5 Josh Williams
28 4 -24 Austin Dillon
29 20 -9 Camden Murphy
30 36 +6 Mason Diaz
31 1 -30 Christopher Bell
32 31 -1 Joe Nemechek
33 15 -18 Bayley Currey
34 13 -21 Landon Cassill
35 18 -17 Timmy Hill
36 23 -13 Josh Bilicki
37 27 -10 Jeff Green
38 38 Chad Finchum
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Tyler Reddick 11.2 1 +10.2
2 Justin Allgaier 17.1 2 +15.1
4 Noah Gragson 22.9 4 +18.9
5 Justin Haley 20.9 5 +15.9
9 Austin Cindric 15.4 9 +6.4
11 Ross Chastain 14.5 11 +3.5
12 John Hunter Nemechek 18.3 12 +6.3
18 B.J. McLeod 24.7 18 +6.7
19 Chase Briscoe 7.8 19 -11.2
21 Joey Gase 22.9 21 +1.9
22 David Starr 21.0 22 -1.0
24 Cole Custer 22.0 24 -2.0
28 Austin Dillon 19.9 28 -8.1
31 Christopher Bell 9.2 31 -21.8
35 Timmy Hill 23.9 35 -11.1
36 Josh Bilicki 26.1 36 -9.9
38 Chad Finchum 28.2 38 -9.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Tyler Reddick: has 16 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 8.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Briscoe: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.1 avg finish (1 win), finishing P19 on the day.
  • Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 15.1 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Tyler Reddick won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 25, 2019.