NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA
Daytona International Speedway — February 16, 2019
Michael Annett
Winner
120
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders
Michael Annett won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway on February 16, 2019, leading 45 of 120 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Brandon Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 16, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Michael Annett |
| 2 | 15 | +13 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Brandon Jones |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Ryan Sieg |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Austin Cindric |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 21 | +14 | Jeff Green |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Chase Elliott |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Noah Gragson |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 13 | 6 | -7 | Ross Chastain |
| 14 | 38 | +24 | Cole Custer |
| 15 | 2 | -13 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 16 | 30 | +14 | Joey Gase |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | Justin Haley |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Brandon Brown |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Timmy Hill |
| 20 | 32 | +12 | David Starr |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 22 | 24 | +2 | Josh Williams |
| 23 | 20 | -3 | Josh Bilicki |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Vinnie Miller |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Matt Mills |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | B.J. McLeod |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Max Tullman |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 31 | 19 | -12 | Chris Cockrum |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | John Jackson |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | D.J. Kennington |
| 34 | 5 | -29 | Gray Gaulding |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Mike Harmon |
| 36 | 25 | -11 | Jeremy Clements |
| 37 | 9 | -28 | Brad Keselowski |
| 38 | 23 | -15 | Stephen Leicht |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 2 | +19.1 |
| 5 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 5 | +15.1 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 6 | +11.4 |
| 8 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 8 | +12.5 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 9 | +4.6 |
| 10 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 10 | +0.4 |
| 11 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 11 | +13.0 |
| 12 | Chase Briscoe | 21.7 | 12 | +9.7 |
| 13 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 13 | +4.4 |
| 14 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 16 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 16 | +7.7 |
| 17 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 17 | +6.4 |
| 19 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 19 | +3.8 |
| 20 | David Starr | 21.1 | 20 | +1.1 |
| 23 | Josh Bilicki | 25.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 27 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 27 | -1.5 |
| 37 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 37 | -21.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Michael Annett: has 21 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 21.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P10 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 32 starts, 16.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA?
Michael Annett won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 16, 2019.