NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN

Michigan International Speedway — June 8, 2019

Tyler Reddick
Winner
125
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders

Tyler Reddick won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway on June 8, 2019, leading 11 of 125 laps. Noah Gragson finished second; Michael Annett rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 8, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 10 +9 Tyler Reddick
2 4 +2 Noah Gragson
3 7 +4 Michael Annett
4 1 -3 Paul Menard
5 12 +7 Justin Allgaier
6 3 -3 Brandon Jones
7 14 +7 Chase Briscoe
8 8 John Hunter Nemechek
9 11 +2 Jeb Burton
10 13 +3 Justin Haley
11 5 -6 Austin Cindric
12 6 -6 Cole Custer
13 2 -11 Christopher Bell
14 15 +1 Ross Chastain
15 17 +2 Jeremy Clements
16 22 +6 Gray Gaulding
17 9 -8 Ryan Sieg
18 21 +3 Tommy Joe Martins
19 23 +4 B.J. McLeod
20 32 +12 Stephen Leicht
21 20 -1 Josh Bilicki
22 28 +6 Chad Finchum
23 29 +6 Josh Williams
24 18 -6 Matt Mills
25 36 +11 David Starr
26 25 -1 Brandon Brown
27 39 +12 Garrett Smithley
28 38 +10 Vinnie Miller
29 37 +8 Joey Gase
30 34 +4 Ray Black, Jr.
31 33 +2 Timmy Hill
32 16 -16 Landon Cassill
33 31 -2 Bayley Currey
34 24 -10 Kyle Weatherman
35 27 -8 Tyler Hill
36 26 -10 Jeff Green
37 30 -7 Riley Herbst
38 19 -19 Dillon Bassett
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Tyler Reddick 6.2 1 +5.2
2 Noah Gragson 21.4 2 +19.4
5 Justin Allgaier 18.3 5 +13.3
7 Chase Briscoe 11.9 7 +4.9
8 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 8 +11.1
10 Justin Haley 19.9 10 +9.9
11 Austin Cindric 15.4 11 +4.4
12 Cole Custer 22.9 12 +10.9
13 Christopher Bell 10.7 13 -2.3
14 Ross Chastain 13.3 14 -0.7
19 B.J. McLeod 24.8 19 +5.8
21 Josh Bilicki 28.6 21 +7.6
22 Chad Finchum 26.4 22 +4.4
25 David Starr 20.9 25 -4.1
29 Joey Gase 23.4 29 -5.6
31 Timmy Hill 23.9 31 -7.1
37 Riley Herbst 21.4 37 -15.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Tyler Reddick: has 12 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.4 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 8 starts, 8.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN?
Tyler Reddick won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MICHIGAN was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 8, 2019.