NASCAR GANDER RV & OUTDOORS TRUCK SERIES AT LAS VEGAS
Las Vegas Motor Speedway, February 21, 2020
Kyle Busch
Winner
134
Laps
32
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2020 NASCAR GANDER RV & OUTDOORS TRUCK SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on February 21, 2020, leading 108 of 134 laps. Johnny Sauter finished second; Austin Hill rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, February 21, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Johnny Sauter |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Austin Hill |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Matt Crafton |
| 5 | 18 | +13 | Ben Rhodes |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Zane Smith |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Todd Gilliland |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Tanner Gray |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Stewart Friesen |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Sheldon Creed |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Spencer Davis |
| 13 | 5 | -8 | Ty Majeski |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Ross Chastain |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Brennan Poole |
| 16 | 10 | -6 | Brett Moffitt |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Codie Rohrbaugh |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Tate Fogleman |
| 20 | 20 | — | Jordan Anderson |
| 21 | 29 | +8 | Natalie Decker |
| 22 | 16 | -6 | Derek Kraus |
| 23 | 4 | -19 | Christian Eckes |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Angela Ruch |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Spencer Boyd |
| 26 | 19 | -7 | Cory Roper |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Josh Reaume |
| 28 | 11 | -17 | Timmy Hill |
| 29 | 24 | -5 | Stefan Parsons |
| 30 | 8 | -22 | Raphael Lessard |
| 31 | 9 | -22 | Grant Enfinger |
| 32 | 32 | — | Josh Bilicki |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Austin Hill | 26.4 | 3 | +23.4 |
| 6 | Zane Smith | 18.3 | 6 | +12.3 |
| 7 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 7 | +12.1 |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 14 | +0.5 |
| 15 | Brennan Poole | 23.4 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 22 | Derek Kraus | 26.1 | 22 | +4.1 |
| 28 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 28 | -4.1 |
| 32 | Josh Bilicki | 26.1 | 32 | -5.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 52 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.3 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 31 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 15.2 avg finish (1 win), finishing P14 on the day.
- Austin Hill: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P26. Track history: 18 starts, 10.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR GANDER RV & OUTDOORS TRUCK SERIES AT LAS VEGAS?
Kyle Busch won the 2020 NASCAR GANDER RV & OUTDOORS TRUCK SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR GANDER RV & OUTDOORS TRUCK SERIES AT LAS VEGAS held?
The 2020 NASCAR GANDER RV & OUTDOORS TRUCK SERIES AT LAS VEGAS was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on February 21, 2020.