NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA ROAD
Daytona International Speedway — August 15, 2020
Austin Cindric
Winner
52
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Austin Cindric won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA ROAD at Daytona International Speedway on August 15, 2020, leading 21 of 52 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 15, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Austin Cindric |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Brandon Jones |
| 3 | 3 | — | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Andy Lally |
| 6 | 18 | +12 | Jeremy Clements |
| 7 | 15 | +8 | Riley Herbst |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Harrison Burton |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Justin Allgaier |
| 10 | 27 | +17 | Myatt Snider |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Josh Bilicki |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 14 | 34 | +20 | Bayley Currey |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Michael Annett |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Jade Buford |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Jesse Little |
| 19 | 30 | +11 | Scott Heckert |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | B.J. McLeod |
| 21 | 21 | — | Stephen Leicht |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Matt Mills |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Kody Vanderwal |
| 24 | 14 | -10 | Josh Williams |
| 25 | 20 | -5 | Mike Wallace |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 27 | 16 | -11 | Alex Labbe |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Brandon Gdovic |
| 29 | 2 | -27 | Chase Briscoe |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Bobby Reuse |
| 31 | 12 | -19 | Preston Pardus |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Earl Bamber |
| 34 | 13 | -21 | Brandon Brown |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Harold Crooms |
| 36 | 4 | -32 | Ross Chastain |
| 37 | 23 | -14 | Daniel Hemric |
| 38 | 5 | -33 | Justin Haley |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 1 | +19.1 |
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 3 | +21.0 |
| 4 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 7 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 7 | +16.7 |
| 9 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 9 | +12.1 |
| 12 | Josh Bilicki | 25.5 | 12 | +13.5 |
| 20 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 20 | +5.5 |
| 29 | Chase Briscoe | 21.7 | 29 | -7.3 |
| 36 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 36 | -18.6 |
| 38 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 38 | -14.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Cindric: has 20 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.6 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 32 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.0 avg finish (1 win), finishing P36 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P24. Track history: 17 starts, 18.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA ROAD?
Austin Cindric won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA ROAD at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA ROAD held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA ROAD was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 15, 2020.