NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL
Bristol Motor Speedway — September 18, 2020
Chase Briscoe
Winner
300
Laps
36
Entries
5
Leaders
Chase Briscoe won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 18, 2020, leading 11 of 300 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Austin Cindric rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, September 18, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Chase Briscoe |
| 2 | 2 | — | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Austin Cindric |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Harrison Burton |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Noah Gragson |
| 8 | 8 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Jeb Burton |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Riley Herbst |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Jeremy Clements |
| 12 | 12 | — | Brandon Brown |
| 13 | 13 | — | Alex Labbe |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 15 | 34 | +19 | Timmy Hill |
| 16 | 5 | -11 | Justin Haley |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Gray Gaulding |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Josh Williams |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | Chad Finchum |
| 21 | 31 | +10 | Colby Howard |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Matt Mills |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Stefan Parsons |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 25 | 25 | — | Jesse Little |
| 26 | 14 | -12 | Brett Moffitt |
| 27 | 23 | -4 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Dexter Bean |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Kody Vanderwal |
| 30 | 22 | -8 | Bayley Currey |
| 31 | 9 | -22 | Michael Annett |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | Vinnie Miller |
| 34 | 21 | -13 | B.J. McLeod |
| 35 | 29 | -6 | Myatt Snider |
| 36 | 36 | — | Stephen Leicht |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 1 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 3 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 5 | +12.7 |
| 6 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 6 | +16.0 |
| 7 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 7 | +16.0 |
| 10 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 10 | +12.1 |
| 15 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 15 | +9.3 |
| 16 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 16 | +5.2 |
| 20 | Chad Finchum | 22.1 | 20 | +2.1 |
| 34 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 34 | -8.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Briscoe: has 19 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Anthony Alfredo: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P22. Track history: 7 starts, 18.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL?
Chase Briscoe won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 18, 2020.