NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON

Darlington Raceway — September 5, 2020

Brandon Jones

Winner

147

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Brandon Jones won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway on September 5, 2020, leading 2 of 147 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Ryan Sieg rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, September 5, 2020

Track

Darlington Raceway

Season

2020

Winner

Brandon Jones

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	8	+7	Brandon Jones	147	—	Running	2	54
2	5	+3	Ross Chastain	147	—	Running	43	51
3	11	+8	Ryan Sieg	147	—	Running	9	41
4	6	+2	Riley Herbst	147	—	Running	—	34
5	37	+32	Denny Hamlin	147	—	Running	31	0
6	3	-3	Harrison Burton	147	—	Running	—	37
7	14	+7	Noah Gragson	147	—	Running	—	36
8	7	-1	Michael Annett	147	—	Running	—	35
9	26	+17	Austin Hill	147	—	Running	—	0
10	20	+10	Myatt Snider	147	—	Running	—	27
11	2	-9	Chase Briscoe	147	—	Running	55	41
12	4	-8	Austin Cindric	147	—	Running	—	37
13	1	-12	Justin Haley	147	—	Running	7	24
14	27	+13	B.J. McLeod	147	—	Running	—	23
15	9	-6	Josh Williams	147	—	Running	—	22
16	24	+8	Alex Labbe	147	—	Running	—	21
17	17	—	Brandon Brown	147	—	Running	—	20
18	10	-8	Jesse Little	147	—	Running	—	19
19	18	-1	Colby Howard	147	—	Running	—	18
20	23	+3	Chad Finchum	146	—	Running	—	17
21	25	+4	Jeffrey Earnhardt	146	—	Running	—	16
22	33	+11	Matt Mills	146	—	Running	—	15
23	28	+5	Joe Graf Jr.	146	—	Running	—	14
24	30	+6	Bayley Currey	146	—	Running	—	0
25	29	+4	Ryan Vargas	146	—	Running	—	12
26	19	-7	Tommy Joe Martins	145	—	Running	—	15
27	12	-15	Anthony Alfredo	145	—	Running	—	10
28	32	+4	Vinnie Miller	145	—	Running	—	9
29	34	+5	Kody Vanderwal	145	—	Running	—	8
30	35	+5	Dexter Bean	145	—	Running	—	7
31	16	-15	Justin Allgaier	135	—	Running	—	7
32	13	-19	Jeremy Clements	129	—	Running	—	7
33	21	-12	Brett Moffitt	118	—	DNF	—	0
34	22	-12	David Starr	108	—	DNF	—	3
35	36	+1	Stephen Leicht	11	—	DNF	—	2
36	31	-5	Kyle Weatherman	5	—	DNF	—	1
37	15	-22	Daniel Hemric	2	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Ross Chastain	13.3	2	+11.3	Coinflip
4	Riley Herbst	21.4	4	+17.4	High Confidence
5	Denny Hamlin	8.2	5	+3.2	High Confidence
7	Noah Gragson	21.4	7	+14.4	High Confidence
9	Austin Hill	20.9	9	+11.9	Moderate
11	Chase Briscoe	11.9	11	+0.9	Coinflip
12	Austin Cindric	15.4	12	+3.4	Coinflip
13	Justin Haley	19.9	13	+6.9	Moderate
14	B.J. McLeod	24.8	14	+10.8	High Confidence
20	Chad Finchum	26.4	20	+6.4	High Confidence
27	Anthony Alfredo	20.9	27	-6.1	Moderate
31	Justin Allgaier	18.3	31	-12.7	Coinflip
34	David Starr	20.9	34	-13.1	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Brandon Jones: has 15 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.6 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
Riley Herbst: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 13 starts, 25.2 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON?

Brandon Jones won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway.

Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON held?

The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON was held at Darlington Raceway on September 5, 2020.