NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI

Homestead-Miami Speedway — June 14, 2020

Chase Briscoe
Winner
177
Laps
38
Entries
8
Leaders

Chase Briscoe won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 14, 2020, leading 11 of 177 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Ross Chastain rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 14, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 Chase Briscoe
2 8 +6 Brandon Jones
3 7 +4 Ross Chastain
4 38 +34 A.J. Allmendinger
5 13 +8 Noah Gragson
6 3 -3 Justin Haley
7 1 -6 Myatt Snider
8 15 +7 Harrison Burton
9 6 -3 Riley Herbst
10 14 +4 Austin Cindric
11 12 +1 Anthony Alfredo
12 20 +8 Josh Williams
13 16 +3 Joe Graf Jr.
14 21 +7 Colin Garrett
15 18 +3 Jesse Little
16 19 +3 Jeffrey Earnhardt
17 17 Colby Howard
18 10 -8 Michael Annett
19 28 +9 Ryan Sieg
20 31 +11 Tommy Joe Martins
21 30 +9 Chad Finchum
22 32 +10 Justin Allgaier
23 25 +2 Alex Labbe
24 27 +3 Matt Mills
25 23 -2 Timmy Hill
26 24 -2 Bayley Currey
27 4 -23 Jeremy Clements
28 5 -23 Carson Ware
29 34 +5 Vinnie Miller
30 29 -1 Caesar Bacarella
31 11 -20 Daniel Hemric
32 22 -10 Stefan Parsons
33 37 +4 Kody Vanderwal
34 26 -8 B.J. McLeod
35 33 -2 Kyle Weatherman
36 2 -34 Brandon Brown
37 35 -2 Jairo Avila Jr.
38 36 -2 Stephen Leicht
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Briscoe 11.9 1 +10.9
3 Ross Chastain 13.3 3 +10.3
4 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 4 +14.3
5 Noah Gragson 21.4 5 +16.4
6 Justin Haley 19.9 6 +13.9
9 Riley Herbst 21.4 9 +12.4
10 Austin Cindric 15.4 10 +5.4
11 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 11 +9.9
21 Chad Finchum 26.4 21 +5.4
22 Justin Allgaier 18.3 22 -3.7
25 Timmy Hill 23.9 25 -1.1
34 B.J. McLeod 24.8 34 -9.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Briscoe: has 9 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 8.4 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P21. Track history: 10 starts, 11.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI?
Chase Briscoe won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 14, 2020.