NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway — September 16, 2021

Chandler Smith
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
3
Leaders

Chandler Smith won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 16, 2021, leading 5 of 200 laps. Grant Enfinger finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, September 16, 2021
Season
2021
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 7 +6 Chandler Smith
2 6 +4 Grant Enfinger
3 2 -1 John Hunter Nemechek
4 5 +1 Stewart Friesen
5 13 +8 Johnny Sauter
6 8 +2 Carson Hocevar
7 4 -3 Matt Crafton
8 9 +1 Zane Smith
9 11 +2 Ben Rhodes
10 3 -7 Todd Gilliland
11 17 +6 Josh Berry
12 30 +18 Doug Coby
13 15 +2 Derek Kraus
14 16 +2 Austin Wayne Self
15 20 +5 Colby Howard
16 26 +10 Ryan Truex
17 32 +15 Timmy Hill
18 25 +7 Lawless Alan
19 1 -18 Sheldon Creed
20 37 +17 Cory Roper
21 14 -7 Parker Kligerman
22 39 +17 Sam Mayer
23 34 +11 Clay Greenfield
24 10 -14 Austin Hill
25 23 -2 Hailie Deegan
26 38 +12 C.J. McLaughlin
27 36 +9 Jennifer Cobb
28 33 +5 Howie DiSavino III
29 35 +6 Taylor Gray
30 19 -11 Chase Purdy
31 27 -4 Spencer Boyd
32 18 -14 Tyler Ankrum
33 22 -11 Danny Bohn
34 12 -22 Drew Dollar
35 29 -6 Dawson Cram
36 24 -12 Kris Wright
37 31 -6 Tate Fogleman
38 21 -17 Tanner Gray
39 40 +1 Ray Ciccarelli
40 28 -12 Josh Reaume
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 3 +17.1
6 Carson Hocevar 14.7 6 +8.7
8 Zane Smith 20.2 8 +12.2
10 Todd Gilliland 17.1 10 +7.1
11 Josh Berry 19.0 11 +8.0
13 Derek Kraus 21.3 13 +8.3
16 Ryan Truex 15.6 16 -0.4
17 Timmy Hill 24.3 17 +7.3
24 Austin Hill 20.2 24 -3.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chandler Smith: has 10 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Carson Hocevar: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 10.9 avg finish, finishing P6 on the day.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 19 starts, 10.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Bristol?
Chandler Smith won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Bristol held?
The 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 16, 2021.