NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas
Kansas Speedway — October 23, 2021
Ty Gibbs
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on October 23, 2021, leading 14 of 200 laps. Austin Cindric finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Ty Gibbs |
| 2 | 2 | — | Austin Cindric |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Brett Moffitt |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Michael Annett |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Sam Mayer |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Justin Allgaier |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Myatt Snider |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Brandon Jones |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Jeb Burton |
| 13 | 13 | — | Riley Herbst |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Brandon Brown |
| 15 | 1 | -14 | Daniel Hemric |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Bayley Currey |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 39 | +21 | Garrett Smithley |
| 19 | 38 | +19 | Landon Cassill |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | Jordan Anderson |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Ryan Vargas |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | Patrick Emerling |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Matt Mills |
| 26 | 18 | -8 | Josh Williams |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Dylan Lupton |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | Jesse Little |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Spencer Boyd |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Loris Hezemans |
| 33 | 21 | -12 | Alex Labbe |
| 34 | 7 | -27 | Harrison Burton |
| 35 | 4 | -31 | Noah Gragson |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | David Starr |
| 37 | 26 | -11 | Mason Massey |
| 38 | 35 | -3 | Jade Buford |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Gray Gaulding |
| 40 | 37 | -3 | Joey Gase |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 1 | +13.5 |
| 2 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 3 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 4 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 4 | +15.9 |
| 9 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 9 | +9.3 |
| 13 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 13 | +8.4 |
| 35 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 35 | -13.6 |
| 36 | David Starr | 20.9 | 36 | -15.1 |
| 40 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 40 | -16.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ty Gibbs: has 8 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Justin Haley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 13 starts, 16.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas?
Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas held?
The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on October 23, 2021.