NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan
Michigan International Speedway — August 6, 2022
Ty Gibbs
Winner
125
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders
Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway on August 6, 2022, leading 54 of 125 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 6, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Ty Gibbs |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Brandon Jones |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Austin Hill |
| 6 | 6 | — | Josh Berry |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Daniel Hemric |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Riley Herbst |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Landon Cassill |
| 11 | 11 | — | Sheldon Creed |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | Sammy Smith |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Brandon Brown |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 15 | 15 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 16 | 8 | -8 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 17 | 17 | — | Myatt Snider |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Kaz Grala |
| 19 | 31 | +12 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Kyle Sieg |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Jeb Burton |
| 23 | 24 | +1 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Mason Massey |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Patrick Emerling |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Alex Labbe |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Ryan Ellis |
| 28 | 25 | -3 | Josh Bilicki |
| 29 | 27 | -2 | Ryan Vargas |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Bayley Currey |
| 31 | 21 | -10 | Jeremy Clements |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Blaine Perkins |
| 33 | 26 | -7 | Sam Mayer |
| 34 | 14 | -20 | Dillon Bassett |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | David Starr |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Josh Williams |
| 37 | 34 | -3 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 38 | 38 | — | Matt Mills |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 1 | +13.5 |
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 3 | +18.4 |
| 5 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 5 | +15.9 |
| 6 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 6 | +16.9 |
| 7 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 7 | +11.3 |
| 9 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 9 | +12.4 |
| 14 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 14 | +6.9 |
| 19 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 19 | +0.1 |
| 20 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 20 | +8.8 |
| 28 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 28 | +0.6 |
| 35 | David Starr | 20.9 | 35 | -14.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ty Gibbs: has 10 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 14.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 8 starts, 8.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan?
Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Michigan was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 6, 2022.