NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte

Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 28, 2022

Josh Berry
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders

Josh Berry won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 28, 2022, leading 89 of 200 laps. Ty Gibbs finished second; Sam Mayer rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 28, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 4 +3 Josh Berry
2 36 +34 Ty Gibbs
3 1 -2 Sam Mayer
4 7 +3 Noah Gragson
5 3 -2 Ryan Preece
6 10 +4 Daniel Hemric
7 2 -5 Justin Allgaier
8 18 +10 Sheldon Creed
9 6 -3 Trevor Bayne
10 33 +23 Myatt Snider
11 14 +3 Brett Moffitt
12 15 +3 Jeb Burton
13 29 +16 Ryan Ellis
14 20 +6 Austin Hill
15 25 +10 Bayley Currey
16 5 -11 Brandon Jones
17 32 +15 Brandon Brown
18 16 -2 J.J. Yeley
19 8 -11 A.J. Allmendinger
20 27 +7 Matt Mills
21 34 +13 Garrett Smithley
22 23 +1 Jeremy Clements
23 35 +12 C.J. McLaughlin
24 28 +4 Shane Lee
25 37 +12 Riley Herbst
26 17 -9 Ryan Vargas
27 26 -1 Josh Williams
28 31 +3 Nick Sanchez
29 12 -17 Landon Cassill
30 11 -19 Stefan Parsons
31 13 -18 Austin Dillon
32 22 -10 Ryan Sieg
33 30 -3 Anthony Alfredo
34 24 -10 Joe Graf Jr.
35 19 -16 Brennan Poole
36 21 -15 Kyle Weatherman
37 38 +1 Jeffrey Earnhardt
38 9 -29 Timmy Hill
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Josh Berry 22.9 1 +21.9
2 Ty Gibbs 14.5 2 +12.5
4 Noah Gragson 21.4 4 +17.4
5 Ryan Preece 10.1 5 +5.1
7 Justin Allgaier 18.3 7 +11.3
14 Austin Hill 20.9 14 +6.9
18 J.J. Yeley 28.8 18 +10.8
19 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 19 -0.7
25 Riley Herbst 21.4 25 -3.6
31 Austin Dillon 17.1 31 -13.9
33 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 33 -12.1
35 Brennan Poole 24.7 35 -10.3
38 Timmy Hill 23.9 38 -14.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Josh Berry: has 3 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 14.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Preece: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.3 avg finish, finishing P5 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte?
Josh Berry won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 28, 2022.