NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega

Talladega Superspeedway — October 1, 2022

A.J. Allmendinger

Winner

113

Laps

Entries

Leaders

A.J. Allmendinger won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway on October 1, 2022, leading 3 of 113 laps. Sam Mayer finished second; Landon Cassill rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Track

Talladega Superspeedway

Season

2022

Winner

A.J. Allmendinger

Leaders

11 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	8	+7	A.J. Allmendinger	113	—	Running	3	53
2	13	+11	Sam Mayer	113	—	Running	3	41
3	18	+15	Landon Cassill	113	—	Running	—	34
4	14	+10	Ryan Sieg	113	—	Running	11	35
5	7	+2	Josh Berry	113	—	Running	—	33
6	9	+3	Parker Kligerman	113	—	Running	—	0
7	2	-5	Ty Gibbs	113	—	Running	—	33
8	12	+4	Daniel Hemric	113	—	Running	—	37
9	5	-4	Brandon Jones	113	—	Running	1	38
10	6	-4	Noah Gragson	113	—	Running	1	27
11	23	+12	Riley Herbst	113	—	Running	—	26
12	3	-9	Sheldon Creed	113	—	Running	2	34
13	11	-2	Trevor Bayne	113	—	Running	13	37
14	1	-13	Austin Hill	113	—	Running	60	43
15	4	-11	Justin Allgaier	113	—	Running	6	35
16	20	+4	Anthony Alfredo	113	—	Running	—	21
17	16	-1	Jeb Burton	113	—	Running	—	26
18	35	+17	J.J. Yeley	113	—	Running	—	19
19	30	+11	Josh Williams	113	—	Running	—	18
20	37	+17	Jeremy Clements	113	—	Running	—	17
21	25	+4	Joey Gase	113	—	Running	—	16
22	19	-3	Joe Graf Jr.	113	—	Running	—	15
23	26	+3	Derek Griffith	113	—	Running	—	14
24	24	—	Bayley Currey	112	—	Running	12	13
25	33	+8	David Starr	112	—	Running	—	12
26	32	+6	B.J. McLeod	112	—	Running	—	11
27	36	+9	Timmy Hill	112	—	Running	1	0
28	22	-6	Jesse Iwuji	112	—	Running	—	9
29	28	-1	C.J. McLaughlin	112	—	Running	—	8
30	10	-20	Ryan Vargas	112	—	Running	—	7
31	31	—	Caesar Bacarella	112	—	Running	—	6
32	34	+2	Howie DiSavino III	112	—	Running	—	5
33	17	-16	Brandon Brown	112	—	Running	—	10
34	38	+4	Mike Harmon	111	—	Running	—	0
35	21	-14	Myatt Snider	111	—	Running	—	2
36	15	-21	Blaine Perkins	110	—	Running	—	0
37	27	-10	Jeffrey Earnhardt	109	—	Running	—	1
38	29	-9	Mason Massey	95	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	A.J. Allmendinger	20.1	1	+19.1	Moderate
5	Josh Berry	24.0	5	+19.0	High Confidence
7	Ty Gibbs	22.9	7	+15.9	Moderate
10	Noah Gragson	24.0	10	+14.0	High Confidence
11	Riley Herbst	23.7	11	+12.7	High Confidence
14	Austin Hill	24.0	14	+10.0	High Confidence
15	Justin Allgaier	21.1	15	+6.1	Moderate
16	Anthony Alfredo	23.7	16	+7.7	High Confidence
18	J.J. Yeley	25.2	18	+7.2	High Confidence
21	Joey Gase	23.7	21	+2.7	High Confidence
25	David Starr	21.1	25	-3.9	Moderate
26	B.J. McLeod	25.5	26	-0.5	High Confidence
27	Timmy Hill	22.8	27	-4.2	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.