NASCAR Truck Series at Richmond
Richmond Raceway — July 29, 2023
Carson Hocevar
Winner
250
Laps
36
Entries
4
Leaders
Carson Hocevar won the 2023 NASCAR Truck Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway on July 29, 2023, leading 64 of 250 laps. Ty Majeski finished second; Zane Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 29, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Carson Hocevar |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Ty Majeski |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Zane Smith |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Jake Garcia |
| 5 | 5 | — | Matt Mills |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Corey Heim |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Matt Crafton |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Nick Sanchez |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Grant Enfinger |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | William Sawalich |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Christian Eckes |
| 12 | 4 | -8 | Ben Rhodes |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Taylor Gray |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Hailie Deegan |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Tanner Gray |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 18 | 11 | -7 | Bayley Currey |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Rajah Caruth |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Conner Jones |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Daniel Dye |
| 22 | 9 | -13 | Chase Purdy |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | Timmy Hill |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Colby Howard |
| 25 | 20 | -5 | Dean Thompson |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Will Rodgers |
| 27 | 23 | -4 | Stewart Friesen |
| 28 | 22 | -6 | Lawless Alan |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Bret Holmes |
| 30 | 28 | -2 | Ryan Vargas |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Justin Carroll |
| 32 | 35 | +3 | Christian Rose |
| 33 | 31 | -2 | Derek Lemke |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Mason Massey |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | Spencer Boyd |
| 36 | 36 | — | Josh Reaume |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 3 | Zane Smith | 20.2 | 3 | +17.2 |
| 6 | Corey Heim | 20.1 | 6 | +14.1 |
| 21 | Daniel Dye | 19.0 | 21 | -2.0 |
| 23 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 23 | +1.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Carson Hocevar: has 7 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Zane Smith: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 7 starts, 15.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Truck Series at Richmond?
Carson Hocevar won the 2023 NASCAR Truck Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Truck Series at Richmond held?
The 2023 NASCAR Truck Series at Richmond was held at Richmond Raceway on July 29, 2023.