NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — September 2, 2023

Denny Hamlin

Winner

148

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Denny Hamlin won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on September 2, 2023, leading 14 of 148 laps. Austin Hill finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, September 2, 2023

Track

Darlington Raceway

Season

2023

Winner

Denny Hamlin

Leaders

5 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Denny Hamlin	148	—	Running	14	0
2	9	+7	Austin Hill	148	—	Running	29	49
3	1	-2	John Hunter Nemechek	148	—	Running	99	54
4	4	—	Cole Custer	148	—	Running	—	44
5	7	+2	Josh Berry	148	—	Running	—	32
6	15	+9	Riley Herbst	148	—	Running	—	34
7	3	-4	Justin Allgaier	148	—	Running	—	43
8	16	+8	Sheldon Creed	148	—	Running	—	29
9	14	+5	Kyle Busch	148	—	Running	—	0
10	6	-4	Daniel Hemric	148	—	Running	—	32
11	5	-6	Sam Mayer	148	—	Running	—	26
12	10	-2	Chandler Smith	148	—	Running	—	31
13	19	+6	Parker Retzlaff	148	—	Running	5	27
14	8	-6	Brandon Jones	148	—	Running	—	23
15	17	+2	Corey Heim	148	—	Running	—	0
16	22	+6	Rajah Caruth	148	—	Running	—	0
17	11	-6	Sammy Smith	148	—	Running	—	20
18	24	+6	Jeb Burton	148	—	Running	—	19
19	27	+8	Stefan Parsons	148	—	Running	—	18
20	31	+11	Brennan Poole	148	—	Running	—	17
21	26	+5	Jeremy Clements	148	—	Running	—	16
22	33	+11	Chad Finchum	148	—	Running	—	15
23	21	-2	Ross Chastain	148	—	Running	—	0
24	13	-11	Parker Kligerman	148	—	Running	—	13
25	18	-7	Brett Moffitt	148	—	Running	—	12
26	34	+8	Joe Graf Jr.	148	—	Running	—	11
27	32	+5	Matt Mills	148	—	Running	—	0
28	30	+2	Kaz Grala	148	—	Running	—	9
29	36	+7	Ryan Ellis	148	—	Running	—	8
30	20	-10	Ryan Sieg	148	—	Running	—	7
31	28	-3	Kyle Weatherman	148	—	Running	—	6
32	29	-3	Timmy Hill	148	—	Running	—	0
33	23	-10	Anthony Alfredo	147	—	Running	—	4
34	35	+1	Blaine Perkins	147	—	Running	—	3
35	25	-10	Kyle Sieg	147	—	Running	—	2
36	38	+2	Patrick Emerling	145	—	Running	—	1
37	37	—	Josh Williams	143	—	Running	—	1
38	12	-26	Kyle Larson	117	—	DNF	1	0

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Denny Hamlin	8.2	1	+7.2	High Confidence
2	Austin Hill	20.9	2	+18.9	Moderate
3	John Hunter Nemechek	19.1	3	+16.1	Moderate
4	Cole Custer	22.9	4	+18.9	High Confidence
5	Josh Berry	22.9	5	+17.9	High Confidence
6	Riley Herbst	21.4	6	+15.4	High Confidence
7	Justin Allgaier	18.3	7	+11.3	Coinflip
9	Kyle Busch	17.0	9	+8.0	Coinflip
15	Corey Heim	20.9	15	+5.9	Moderate
20	Brennan Poole	24.7	20	+4.7	Moderate
22	Chad Finchum	26.4	22	+4.4	High Confidence
23	Ross Chastain	13.3	23	-9.7	Coinflip
32	Timmy Hill	23.9	32	-8.1	High Confidence
33	Anthony Alfredo	20.9	33	-12.1	Moderate
38	Kyle Larson	12.7	38	-25.3	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Denny Hamlin: has 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.6 avg finish (10 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
Austin Hill: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 14 starts, 13.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington?

Denny Hamlin won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.

Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington held?

The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on September 2, 2023.