NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — February 18, 2023
Austin Hill
Winner
125
Laps
38
Entries
11
Leaders
Austin Hill won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on February 18, 2023, leading 39 of 125 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 18, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Austin Hill |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Myatt Snider |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Riley Herbst |
| 7 | 29 | +22 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Ryan Sieg |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Justin Haley |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Jeb Burton |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Chandler Smith |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Stefan Parsons |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Brandon Jones |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Josh Williams |
| 16 | 34 | +18 | Parker Chase |
| 17 | 38 | +21 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 36 | +18 | Joey Gase |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Sammy Smith |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Gray Gaulding |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Kyle Sieg |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | David Starr |
| 23 | 2 | -21 | Parker Kligerman |
| 24 | 10 | -14 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 25 | 12 | -13 | Jade Buford |
| 26 | 18 | -8 | Josh Berry |
| 27 | 14 | -13 | Sam Mayer |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Brett Moffitt |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Jesse Iwuji |
| 31 | 31 | — | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | Kaz Grala |
| 33 | 21 | -12 | Brennan Poole |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Sheldon Creed |
| 35 | 35 | — | Ryan Ellis |
| 36 | 6 | -30 | Daniel Hemric |
| 37 | 27 | -10 | Blaine Perkins |
| 38 | 30 | -8 | Bayley Currey |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 1 | +23.0 |
| 2 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 6 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 6 | +17.7 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 9 | +14.4 |
| 10 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 10 | +13.4 |
| 18 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 18 | +5.7 |
| 22 | David Starr | 21.1 | 22 | -0.9 |
| 24 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 24 | -0.3 |
| 26 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 26 | -2.0 |
| 33 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 33 | -7.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Hill: has 18 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- John Hunter Nemechek: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.3 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona?
Austin Hill won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 18, 2023.