NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville
Nashville Superspeedway — June 24, 2023
A.J. Allmendinger
Winner
196
Laps
38
Entries
11
Leaders
A.J. Allmendinger won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville at Nashville Superspeedway on June 24, 2023, leading 25 of 196 laps. Riley Herbst finished second; Sam Mayer rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 24, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +10 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Riley Herbst |
| 3 | 34 | +31 | Sam Mayer |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Austin Hill |
| 5 | 23 | +18 | Josh Berry |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Zane Smith |
| 8 | 33 | +25 | Daniel Hemric |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 10 | — | Parker Retzlaff |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Parker Kligerman |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Chandler Smith |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Jeb Burton |
| 14 | 26 | +12 | Brett Moffitt |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Kaz Grala |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Sheldon Creed |
| 18 | 32 | +14 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | Ryan Sieg |
| 20 | 35 | +15 | Brennan Poole |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 22 | 24 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 24 | 15 | -9 | Brandon Jones |
| 25 | 9 | -16 | Kyle Sieg |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 28 | 25 | -3 | Ryan Ellis |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Chad Chastain |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | David Starr |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 32 | 31 | -1 | Mason Massey |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Josh Williams |
| 34 | 3 | -31 | Sammy Smith |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Connor Mosack |
| 36 | 8 | -28 | Carson Hocevar |
| 37 | 4 | -33 | Ty Gibbs |
| 38 | 18 | -20 | Stefan Parsons |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 1 | +17.3 |
| 2 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 2 | +19.4 |
| 4 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 5 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 5 | +17.9 |
| 6 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 6 | +13.1 |
| 7 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 7 | +12.1 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 15 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 15 | +3.3 |
| 20 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 20 | +4.7 |
| 23 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 23 | -2.1 |
| 30 | David Starr | 20.9 | 30 | -9.1 |
| 31 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 31 | -7.6 |
| 36 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 36 | -22.9 |
| 37 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 37 | -22.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- A.J. Allmendinger: has 8 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 11.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Carson Hocevar: was the model’s top pick based on 6 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P36 on the day.
- Riley Herbst: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 5 starts, 9.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville?
A.J. Allmendinger won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville at Nashville Superspeedway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville was held at Nashville Superspeedway on June 24, 2023.