NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond

Richmond Raceway — April 1, 2023

Chandler Smith
Winner
250
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders

Chandler Smith won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway on April 1, 2023, leading 83 of 250 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Josh Berry rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 1, 2023
Season
2023
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 Chandler Smith
2 10 +8 John Hunter Nemechek
3 7 +4 Josh Berry
4 21 +17 Kaz Grala
5 22 +17 Cole Custer
6 6 Sheldon Creed
7 17 +10 Ryan Sieg
8 20 +12 Parker Kligerman
9 18 +9 Austin Hill
10 11 +1 Derek Kraus
11 32 +21 Alex Labbe
12 16 +4 Jeb Burton
13 1 -12 Justin Allgaier
14 29 +15 Chris Hacker
15 23 +8 Ryan Ellis
16 14 -2 Parker Retzlaff
17 3 -14 Sam Mayer
18 34 +16 Jeffrey Earnhardt
19 2 -17 Sammy Smith
20 25 +5 Kyle Sieg
21 9 -12 Brandon Jones
22 24 +2 Brett Moffitt
23 4 -19 Riley Herbst
24 5 -19 Daniel Hemric
25 28 +3 Leland Honeyman Jr.
26 27 +1 Blaine Perkins
27 35 +8 Joey Gase
28 19 -9 Connor Mosack
29 33 +4 Patrick Emerling
30 37 +7 Garrett Smithley
31 38 +7 Mason Maggio
32 36 +4 Stefan Parsons
33 26 -7 Josh Williams
34 30 -4 Brennan Poole
35 31 -4 Gray Gaulding
36 12 -24 Jeremy Clements
37 15 -22 Joe Graf Jr.
38 13 -25 Anthony Alfredo
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 2 +18.1
3 Josh Berry 19.0 3 +16.0
5 Cole Custer 23.0 5 +18.0
9 Austin Hill 20.2 9 +11.2
10 Derek Kraus 21.3 10 +11.3
13 Justin Allgaier 17.7 13 +4.7
23 Riley Herbst 22.1 23 -0.9
27 Joey Gase 22.0 27 -5.0
34 Brennan Poole 23.1 34 -10.9
38 Anthony Alfredo 22.0 38 -16.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chandler Smith: has 7 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 6.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P13 on the day.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 8 starts, 13.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond?
Chandler Smith won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond was held at Richmond Raceway on April 1, 2023.