NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond
Richmond Raceway — April 1, 2023
Chandler Smith
Winner
250
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Chandler Smith won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway on April 1, 2023, leading 83 of 250 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Josh Berry rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 1, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Chandler Smith |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Josh Berry |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | Kaz Grala |
| 5 | 22 | +17 | Cole Custer |
| 6 | 6 | — | Sheldon Creed |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Ryan Sieg |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Parker Kligerman |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Austin Hill |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Derek Kraus |
| 11 | 32 | +21 | Alex Labbe |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Jeb Burton |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Justin Allgaier |
| 14 | 29 | +15 | Chris Hacker |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Ryan Ellis |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 17 | 3 | -14 | Sam Mayer |
| 18 | 34 | +16 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 19 | 2 | -17 | Sammy Smith |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Kyle Sieg |
| 21 | 9 | -12 | Brandon Jones |
| 22 | 24 | +2 | Brett Moffitt |
| 23 | 4 | -19 | Riley Herbst |
| 24 | 5 | -19 | Daniel Hemric |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Joey Gase |
| 28 | 19 | -9 | Connor Mosack |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Patrick Emerling |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Garrett Smithley |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Mason Maggio |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Stefan Parsons |
| 33 | 26 | -7 | Josh Williams |
| 34 | 30 | -4 | Brennan Poole |
| 35 | 31 | -4 | Gray Gaulding |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Jeremy Clements |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 38 | 13 | -25 | Anthony Alfredo |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 2 | +18.1 |
| 3 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 3 | +16.0 |
| 5 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 5 | +18.0 |
| 9 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 9 | +11.2 |
| 10 | Derek Kraus | 21.3 | 10 | +11.3 |
| 13 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 13 | +4.7 |
| 23 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 23 | -0.9 |
| 27 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 27 | -5.0 |
| 34 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 34 | -10.9 |
| 38 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 38 | -16.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chandler Smith: has 7 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 6.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P13 on the day.
- John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 8 starts, 13.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond?
Chandler Smith won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond was held at Richmond Raceway on April 1, 2023.