YellaWood 500

Talladega Superspeedway, October 1, 2023

Ryan Blaney
Winner
188
Laps
38
Entries
24
Leaders

Ryan Blaney won the 2023 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 1, 2023, leading 8 of 188 laps. William Byron finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 24 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 1, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
24 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 10 +9 Ryan Blaney
2 8 +6 William Byron
3 12 +9 Denny Hamlin
4 36 +32 Corey LaJoie
5 7 +2 Austin Cindric
6 30 +24 Justin Haley
7 23 +16 Chase Elliott
8 19 +11 Ryan Preece
9 6 -3 Riley Herbst
10 28 +18 Daniel Suarez
11 34 +23 Chandler Smith
12 17 +5 Todd Gilliland
13 3 -10 Chase Briscoe
14 15 +1 Christopher Bell
15 4 -11 Kyle Larson
16 13 -3 Tyler Reddick
17 1 -16 Aric Almirola
18 16 -2 Martin Truex, Jr.
19 24 +5 Chris Buescher
20 31 +11 A.J. Allmendinger
21 18 -3 Michael McDowell
22 35 +13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
23 9 -14 Bubba Wallace
24 2 -22 Joey Logano
25 25 Kyle Busch
26 26 Erik Jones
27 33 +6 Ty Dillon
28 20 -8 Alex Bowman
29 37 +8 B.J. McLeod
30 29 -1 Brennan Poole
31 21 -10 Harrison Burton
32 5 -27 Brad Keselowski
33 14 -19 Austin Dillon
34 22 -12 Ty Gibbs
35 38 +3 Carson Hocevar
36 27 -9 J.J. Yeley
37 32 -5 Ross Chastain
38 11 -27 Kevin Harvick
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
William Byron 2 2 18
Chase Elliott 4 5 13
Kyle Larson 3 7 12
Joey Logano 8 3 11
Ryan Blaney 1 10
Brad Keselowski 1 10
Austin Dillon 4 7
Alex Bowman 5 6
Austin Cindric 6 5
Daniel Suarez 6 5
Justin Haley 7 4
Chase Briscoe 8 3
Ryan Preece 9 2
Ty Dillon 9 2
Corey LaJoie 10 1
Tyler Reddick 10 1
Denny Hamlin
Riley Herbst
Chandler Smith
Todd Gilliland
Christopher Bell
Aric Almirola
Martin Truex, Jr.
Chris Buescher
A.J. Allmendinger
Michael McDowell
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Bubba Wallace
Kyle Busch
Erik Jones
B.J. McLeod
Brennan Poole
Harrison Burton
Ty Gibbs
Carson Hocevar
J.J. Yeley
Ross Chastain
Kevin Harvick
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 33 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ryan Blaney 10.4 1 +9.4
2 William Byron 13.9 2 +11.9
3 Denny Hamlin 15.1 3 +12.1
4 Corey LaJoie 23.3 4 +19.3
5 Austin Cindric 19.4 5 +14.4
6 Justin Haley 23.4 6 +17.4
7 Chase Elliott 13.6 7 +6.6
8 Ryan Preece 21.1 8 +13.1
9 Riley Herbst 24.0 9 +15.0
10 Daniel Suarez 15.1 10 +5.1
12 Todd Gilliland 22.9 12 +10.9
13 Chase Briscoe 20.5 13 +7.5
14 Christopher Bell 15.1 14 +1.1
15 Kyle Larson 20.1 15 +5.1
16 Tyler Reddick 13.9 16 -2.1
18 Martin Truex, Jr. 20.5 18 +2.5
19 Chris Buescher 13.6 19 -5.4
20 A.J. Allmendinger 22.9 20 +2.9
21 Michael McDowell 19.2 21 -1.8
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 22 -3.5

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ryan Blaney: has 28 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Corey LaJoie: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P23. Track history: 15 starts, 19.1 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 YellaWood 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2023 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2023 YellaWood 500 held?
The 2023 YellaWood 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 1, 2023.