South Point 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — October 12, 2025
Denny Hamlin
Winner
267
Laps
33
Entries
11
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2025 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 12, 2025, leading 9 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 12, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 3 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 32 | +24 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Ryan Preece |
| 10 | 34 | +24 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 31 | +20 | Austin Cindric |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Chris Buescher |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | Noah Gragson |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Michael McDowell |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Carson Hocevar |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Todd Gilliland |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Josh Berry |
| 20 | 10 | -10 | Ty Gibbs |
| 22 | 7 | -15 | Bubba Wallace |
| 23 | 15 | -8 | Ross Chastain |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | Zane Smith |
| 25 | 25 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 27 | 27 | — | Justin Haley |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | Cole Custer |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Katherine Legge |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Cody Ware |
| 36 | 5 | -31 | William Byron |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Ty Dillon |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Chase Briscoe | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Tyler Reddick | 8 | 2 | — | 12 |
| Christopher Bell | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Ty Gibbs | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Joey Logano | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Carson Hocevar | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Shane van Gisbergen | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Katherine Legge | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 33 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 4 | +7.9 |
| 5 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 6 | +8.7 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 7 | +6.5 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 8 | +9.0 |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 9 | +1.1 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 10 | +1.2 |
| 11 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 12 | -2.8 |
| 13 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 13 | +8.4 |
| 14 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 15 | +2.0 |
| 16 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 17 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 17 | -3.9 |
| 18 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 18 | +1.1 |
| 19 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 19 | +3.9 |
| 20 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 20 | -5.5 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P35 vs predicted P56. Track history: 6 starts, 33.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 South Point 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2025 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2025 South Point 400 held?
The 2025 South Point 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 12, 2025.