Mobil 1 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — September 21, 2025
Ryan Blaney
Winner
301
Laps
35
Entries
7
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2025 Mobil 1 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on September 21, 2025, leading 116 of 301 laps. Josh Berry finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 21, 2025
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Josh Berry |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | William Byron |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 27 | +22 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Kyle Larson |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Michael McDowell |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Chase Briscoe |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 28 | +16 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Ryan Preece |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 33 | +18 | Noah Gragson |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Austin Cindric |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 36 | +18 | Todd Gilliland |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 20 | 4 | -16 | Tyler Reddick |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Riley Herbst |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Cole Custer |
| 25 | 34 | +9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 26 | 14 | -12 | Bubba Wallace |
| 27 | 20 | -7 | Zane Smith |
| 28 | 26 | -2 | Erik Jones |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Ty Dillon |
| 30 | 24 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 31 | 35 | +4 | Cody Ware |
| 32 | 10 | -22 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 33 | 21 | -12 | Justin Haley |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 35 | 13 | -22 | Ty Gibbs |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | Daniel Suarez |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Logano | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Ryan Blaney | 1 | 4 | — | 17 |
| William Byron | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | 2 | — | 14 |
| Josh Berry | 4 | 10 | — | 8 |
| Christopher Bell | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Chase Elliott | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Alex Bowman | 8 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Chase Briscoe | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Tyler Reddick | 9 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Michael McDowell | 10 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Shane van Gisbergen | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 35 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 2 | +17.0 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 7 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 7 | +1.6 |
| 8 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 8 | +7.0 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 9 | +4.8 |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 10 | +2.6 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 11 | -4.2 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| 13 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 13 | -2.2 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 15 | +8.0 |
| 16 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 16 | +1.0 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 17 | -6.7 |
| 18 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 18 | -0.9 |
| 19 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 19 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 20 | -10.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 13 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Josh Berry: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P19. Track history: 6 starts, 14.5 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 Mobil 1 301?
Ryan Blaney won the 2025 Mobil 1 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2025 Mobil 1 301 held?
The 2025 Mobil 1 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on September 21, 2025.