NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 15, 2025
Justin Allgaier
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders
Justin Allgaier won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 15, 2025, leading 102 of 200 laps. Aric Almirola finished second; Jesse Love rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | Aric Almirola |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Jesse Love |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Austin Hill |
| 5 | 5 | — | Sam Mayer |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 20 | +13 | Ryan Sieg |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Harrison Burton |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Connor Zilisch |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Sheldon Creed |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Kyle Sieg |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Daniel Dye |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Christian Eckes |
| 14 | 1 | -13 | Sammy Smith |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | Dean Thompson |
| 16 | 19 | +3 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 17 | 2 | -15 | Carson Kvapil |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 19 | 4 | -15 | Taylor Gray |
| 20 | 9 | -11 | Nick Sanchez |
| 21 | 12 | -9 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Brennan Poole |
| 23 | 10 | -13 | Jeb Burton |
| 24 | 13 | -11 | Jeremy Clements |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Kris Wright |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Garrett Smithley |
| 28 | 25 | -3 | Patrick Emerling |
| 29 | 24 | -5 | Josh Williams |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Josh Bilicki |
| 32 | 32 | — | Dawson Cram |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Ryan Ellis |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Greg Van Alst |
| 36 | 36 | — | Austin Green |
| 37 | 31 | -6 | Mason Massey |
| 38 | 8 | -30 | William Sawalich |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 1 | +17.3 |
| 3 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 3 | +18.4 |
| 4 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 9 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 12 | Daniel Dye | 19.1 | 12 | +7.1 |
| 18 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 22 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 22 | +2.7 |
| 31 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 31 | -2.4 |
| 33 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 33 | -9.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Allgaier: has 26 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Jesse Love: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 5 starts, 7.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas?
Justin Allgaier won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 15, 2025.