South Point 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway, October 12, 2025
Denny Hamlin
Winner
267
Laps
38
Entries
11
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2025 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 12, 2025, leading 9 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 12, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 3 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 32 | +24 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Ryan Preece |
| 10 | 34 | +24 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 31 | +20 | Austin Cindric |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Chris Buescher |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | Noah Gragson |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Erik Jones |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 17 | 33 | +16 | Riley Herbst |
| 18 | 4 | -14 | Chase Elliott |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 21 | 30 | +9 | Todd Gilliland |
| 22 | 7 | -15 | Bubba Wallace |
| 23 | 15 | -8 | Ross Chastain |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | Zane Smith |
| 25 | 25 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Josh Berry |
| 27 | 27 | — | Justin Haley |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | Cole Custer |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Katherine Legge |
| 32 | 22 | -10 | Carson Hocevar |
| 33 | 13 | -20 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 34 | 10 | -24 | Ty Gibbs |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Cody Ware |
| 36 | 5 | -31 | William Byron |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Ty Dillon |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| William Byron | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Chase Briscoe | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Tyler Reddick | 8 | 2 | — | 12 |
| Christopher Bell | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Ty Gibbs | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Bubba Wallace | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Carson Hocevar | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Katherine Legge | — | — | — | — |
| Shane van Gisbergen | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 37 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.6 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 1 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 5 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 5 | +6.2 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 6 | +5.9 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 7 | +9.2 |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 9 | +4.3 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| 11 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 12 | -2.8 |
| 13 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 13 | +9.9 |
| 14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 15 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 15 | -0.3 |
| 16 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 16 | +0.9 |
| 17 | Riley Herbst | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 18 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 18 | -7.9 |
| 19 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 19 | -1.9 |
| 20 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 20 | -7.3 |
| 21 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 21 | -1.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P35 vs predicted P57. Track history: 12 starts, 31.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 South Point 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2025 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2025 South Point 400 held?
The 2025 South Point 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 12, 2025.