Straight Talk Wireless 400

Homestead-Miami Speedway, March 23, 2025

Kyle Larson
Winner
267
Laps
37
Entries
9
Leaders

Kyle Larson won the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on March 23, 2025, leading 19 of 267 laps. Alex Bowman finished second; Bubba Wallace rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 23, 2025
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 14 +13 Kyle Larson
2 1 -1 Alex Bowman
3 9 +6 Bubba Wallace
4 4 Chase Briscoe
5 23 +18 Denny Hamlin
6 11 +5 Chris Buescher
7 10 +3 A.J. Allmendinger
8 20 +12 Tyler Reddick
9 31 +22 Ryan Preece
10 21 +11 Justin Haley
11 17 +6 Zane Smith
12 5 -7 William Byron
13 30 +17 Austin Dillon
14 12 -2 Joey Logano
15 28 +13 Erik Jones
16 3 -13 Noah Gragson
17 2 -15 Josh Berry
18 18 Chase Elliott
19 8 -11 Austin Cindric
20 26 +6 Michael McDowell
21 22 +1 Kyle Busch
22 33 +11 Daniel Suarez
23 7 -16 John Hunter Nemechek
24 27 +3 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
25 13 -12 Ty Gibbs
26 32 +6 Brad Keselowski
27 34 +7 Ty Dillon
28 24 -4 Cole Custer
29 16 -13 Christopher Bell
30 29 -1 Todd Gilliland
31 25 -6 Ross Chastain
32 35 +3 Shane van Gisbergen
33 19 -14 Riley Herbst
34 36 +2 Cody Ware
35 37 +2 J.J. Yeley
36 6 -30 Ryan Blaney
37 15 -22 Carson Hocevar
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kyle Larson 4 2 16
Alex Bowman 2 6 14
William Byron 6 4 12
Denny Hamlin 1 10
Austin Cindric 5 7 10
Chase Briscoe 3 3 8
Bubba Wallace 5 6
Josh Berry 8 8 3
Chase Elliott 8 3
Noah Gragson 9 9 2
Tyler Reddick 10 1
Joey Logano 10 10 1
Chris Buescher
A.J. Allmendinger 7
Ryan Preece
Justin Haley
Zane Smith
Austin Dillon
Erik Jones
Michael McDowell
Kyle Busch
Daniel Suarez
John Hunter Nemechek
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Ty Gibbs
Brad Keselowski
Ty Dillon
Cole Custer
Christopher Bell
Todd Gilliland
Ross Chastain
Shane van Gisbergen
Riley Herbst
Cody Ware
J.J. Yeley
Ryan Blaney
Carson Hocevar
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 36 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Larson 13.1 1 +12.1
2 Alex Bowman 16.2 2 +14.2
3 Bubba Wallace 12.7 3 +9.7
4 Chase Briscoe 7.8 4 +3.8
5 Denny Hamlin 6.2 5 +1.2
6 Chris Buescher 9.2 6 +3.2
7 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 7 +10.1
8 Tyler Reddick 11.2 8 +3.2
9 Ryan Preece 13.3 9 +4.3
10 Justin Haley 20.9 10 +10.9
11 Zane Smith 18.3 11 +7.3
12 William Byron 10.7 12 -1.3
13 Austin Dillon 19.9 13 +6.9
14 Joey Logano 11.9 14 -2.1
15 Erik Jones 14.7 15 -0.3
16 Noah Gragson 22.9 16 +6.9
17 Josh Berry 21.4 17 +4.4
18 Chase Elliott 10.1 18 -7.9
19 Austin Cindric 15.4 19 -3.6
20 Michael McDowell 16.9 20 -3.1

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Larson: has 21 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 9.3 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P34 vs predicted P57. Track history: 3 starts, 33.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 held?
The 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on March 23, 2025.