Suburban Propane 300

Bristol Motor Speedway — April 11, 2026

Connor Zilisch
Winner
300
Laps
13
Lead Changes
7
Leaders

Connor Zilisch won the 2026 Suburban Propane 300 at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 11, 2026, leading 24 of 300 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Brent Crews rounded out the podium. The race had 13 lead changes among 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 11, 2026
Season
2026
Lead Changes
13
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 15 +14 Connor Zilisch
2 3 +1 Kyle Larson
3 17 +14 Brent Crews
4 7 +3 Justin Allgaier
5 8 +3 Carson Kvapil
6 2 -4 Sheldon Creed
7 1 -6 William Sawalich
8 14 +6 Corey Day
9 9 Parker Retzlaff
10 6 -4 Taylor Gray
11 11 Ryan Sieg
12 12 Jesse Love
13 16 +3 Sammy Smith
14 38 +24 Rajah Caruth
15 19 +4 Jeremy Clements
16 13 -3 Jeb Burton
17 22 +5 Harrison Burton
18 10 -8 Brennan Poole
19 4 -15 Brandon Jones
20 5 -15 Sam Mayer
21 23 +2 Austin Hill
22 30 +8 Blaine Perkins
23 27 +4 Josh Bilicki
24 21 -3 Dean Thompson
25 20 -5 Kyle Sieg
26 34 +8 J.J. Yeley
27 32 +5 Patrick Staropoli
28 28 Gray Gaulding
29 29 Josh Williams
30 33 +3 Ryan Ellis
31 36 +5 Joey Gase
32 26 -6 Lavar Scott
33 24 -9 Logan Bearden
34 37 +3 Blake Lothian
35 25 -10 Austin Green
36 18 -18 Anthony Alfredo
37 31 -6 Mason Maggio
38 35 -3 Garrett Smithley
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Sheldon Creed 2 2 18
Justin Allgaier 4 3 15
William Sawalich 6 6 10
Brandon Jones 5 7 10
Ryan Sieg 3 8
Brent Crews 5 6
Sam Mayer 9 8 5
Corey Day 10 9 3
Jesse Love 8 3
Carson Kvapil 10 1
Connor Zilisch 7 4
Kyle Larson 1 1
Parker Retzlaff
Taylor Gray
Sammy Smith
Rajah Caruth
Jeremy Clements
Jeb Burton
Harrison Burton
Brennan Poole
Austin Hill
Blaine Perkins
Josh Bilicki
Dean Thompson
Kyle Sieg
J.J. Yeley
Patrick Staropoli
Gray Gaulding
Josh Williams
Ryan Ellis
Joey Gase
Lavar Scott
Logan Bearden
Blake Lothian
Austin Green
Anthony Alfredo
Mason Maggio
Garrett Smithley
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Connor Zilisch 21.2 1 +20.2
2 Kyle Larson 8.6 2 +6.6
4 Justin Allgaier 17.7 4 +13.7
12 Jesse Love 21.0 12 +9.0
18 Brennan Poole 23.1 18 +5.1
21 Austin Hill 20.2 21 -0.8
23 Josh Bilicki 29.4 23 +6.4
26 J.J. Yeley 28.1 26 +2.1
31 Joey Gase 22.0 31 -9.0
36 Anthony Alfredo 22.0 36 -14.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Connor Zilisch: has 5 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Kyle Larson: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2026 Suburban Propane 300?
Connor Zilisch won the 2026 Suburban Propane 300 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Trackhouse Racing.
Where was the 2026 Suburban Propane 300 held?
The 2026 Suburban Propane 300 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 11, 2026.