The LiUNA!
Las Vegas Motor Speedway, March 14, 2026
Kyle Larson
Winner
200
Laps
16
Lead Changes
9
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2026 The LiUNA! at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 14, 2026, leading 47 of 200 laps. Chase Briscoe finished second; Sheldon Creed rounded out the podium. The race had 16 lead changes among 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 14, 2026
Track
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
16
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 23 | +21 | Chase Briscoe |
| 3 | 3 | — | Sheldon Creed |
| 4 | 9 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Sammy Smith |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Jesse Love |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Connor Zilisch |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Corey Day |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | William Sawalich |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Austin Hill |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Carson Kvapil |
| 12 | 12 | — | Parker Retzlaff |
| 13 | 5 | -8 | Brandon Jones |
| 14 | 29 | +15 | Kyle Sieg |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Daniel Dye |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Josh Williams |
| 17 | 24 | +7 | Harrison Burton |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Cole Custer |
| 19 | 8 | -11 | Rajah Caruth |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Brennan Poole |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Patrick Staropoli |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | Blaine Perkins |
| 23 | 38 | +15 | Josh Bilicki |
| 24 | 10 | -14 | Jeremy Clements |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Austin Green |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Lavar Scott |
| 27 | 15 | -12 | Jeb Burton |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Mason Maggio |
| 29 | 36 | +7 | Joey Gase |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Dean Thompson |
| 32 | 34 | +2 | Nathan Byrd |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Ryan Sieg |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 35 | 1 | -34 | Sam Mayer |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Chandler Smith |
| 37 | 6 | -31 | Taylor Gray |
| 38 | 21 | -17 | Nick Sanchez |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Allgaier | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Taylor Gray | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Jesse Love | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Sheldon Creed | 5 | 6 | — | 11 |
| Sam Mayer | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Corey Day | 8 | 7 | — | 7 |
| Austin Hill | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Carson Kvapil | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Brandon Jones | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Kyle Larson | 7 | 5 | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Sammy Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Connor Zilisch | — | 8 | — | — |
| William Sawalich | — | — | — | — |
| Parker Retzlaff | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Sieg | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Dye | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Williams | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | 9 | — | — | — |
| Rajah Caruth | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Staropoli | — | — | — | — |
| Blaine Perkins | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Clements | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Green | — | — | — | — |
| Lavar Scott | — | — | — | — |
| Jeb Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Maggio | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Ellis | — | — | — | — |
| Dean Thompson | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Byrd | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Sieg | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| Chandler Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Sanchez | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 10.1 | 1 | +9.1 |
| 2 | Chase Briscoe | 9.2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Justin Allgaier | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 6 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 6 | +15.0 |
| 7 | Connor Zilisch | 25.7 | 7 | +18.7 |
| 10 | Austin Hill | 26.1 | 10 | +16.1 |
| 15 | Daniel Dye | 21.4 | 15 | +6.4 |
| 17 | Harrison Burton | 21.0 | 17 | +4.0 |
| 18 | Cole Custer | 21.4 | 18 | +3.4 |
| 20 | Brennan Poole | 22.9 | 20 | +2.9 |
| 23 | Josh Bilicki | 26.4 | 23 | +3.4 |
| 29 | Joey Gase | 22.9 | 29 | -6.1 |
| 34 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 34 | -13.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 25 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 8.7 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Briscoe: was the model’s top pick based on 18 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Connor Zilisch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P26. Track history: 4 starts, 12.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 The LiUNA!?
Kyle Larson won the 2026 The LiUNA! at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2026 The LiUNA! held?
The 2026 The LiUNA! was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 14, 2026.