Truck Series Preview Friday, May 29, 2026

Flote 200

Nashville Superspeedway

Laps 150 Distance 200 mi Type intermediate Coverage FS1 · 8:00 PM ET

1.33

concrete

Surface

Green Flag In

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Pre-Race Race Day Post-Race

Band A · The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Your Drivers' Outlook

Historical Context

Tyler Reddick has 8 starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 16.0 average finish.
Chase Elliott has 5 starts at Nashville Superspeedway with 1 win and a 15.4 average finish.
Denny Hamlin has 9 starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 6.0 average finish.

Based on Truck Series results at Nashville Superspeedway from 1995-2026.

DID YOU KNOW?

Nashville Superspeedway is one of the most unpredictable tracks in NASCAR with an average chaos score of 69.9.

Explore Nashville Superspeedway stats

LAST TIME HERE

Kyle Busch has led 910 laps at Nashville Superspeedway — more than anyone else.

Kyle Busch's stats

Band B · The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

Band C · The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Flote 200 on?

The Flote 200 airs on FS1 on Friday, May 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, broadcast from Nashville Superspeedway. Every 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race airs on FS1, available through cable, satellite, and live-TV streaming services like YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, and fuboTV.

What time does the NASCAR Craftsman Truck race start today?

The Flote 200 green flag is set for 8:00 PM ET on Friday, May 29, 2026, airing on FS1. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

#	Driver	Badge	Elo Rating	Starts	Wins	Last Finish
1	Denny Hamlin		1624	4	0	P3(2025)
2	Chase Elliott	Prev Winner	1617	5	1	P15(2025)
3	Tyler Reddick		1597	5	0	P9(2025)
4	Chris Buescher		1591	3	0	P14(2025)
5	Chase Briscoe		1579	4	0	P17(2025)
6	Brad Keselowski		1570	2	0	P23(2025)
7	William Byron		1561	5	0	P5(2025)
8	Ryan Preece		1544	3	0	P28(2025)
9	Bubba Wallace		1543	6	0	P6(2025)
10	Christopher Bell		1539	5	0	P10(2025)

NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET

#	Driver	Tier	Exp. Finish	Win %	Top 5 %	Top 10 %
1	Tyler Reddick Best in Field	Favorite	6.2	18.2%	58.6%	76.5%
2	Chase Elliott	Favorite	7.8	17.8%	58.4%	76.5%
3	Denny Hamlin	Favorite	8.2	16.3%	55.9%	74.6%
4	Chris Buescher	Favorite	9.2	15.4%	54.1%	72.9%
5	Ryan Blaney	Favorite	9.2	12.7%	49.0%	69.0%
6	Ryan Preece	Favorite	10.1	10.9%	46.4%	67.2%
7	Christopher Bell	Contender	10.7	9.6%	43.6%	65.3%
8	William Byron	Contender	10.7	8.4%	40.3%	62.2%
9	Brad Keselowski	Contender	11.2	7.6%	38.0%	60.3%
10	Chase Briscoe	Contender	11.9	6.4%	35.5%	58.5%
11	Kyle Larson	Contender	12.7	5.2%	32.4%	56.7%
12	Bubba Wallace	Contender	12.7	5.1%	30.9%	55.5%
13	Carson Hocevar	Contender	13.1	4.3%	28.1%	53.2%
14	Ross Chastain	Contender	13.3	3.8%	25.9%	50.5%
15	Alex Bowman	Mid-Pack	13.5	3.3%	24.0%	49.5%
16	Daniel Suarez	Mid-Pack	14.0	3.1%	21.8%	47.6%
17	Ty Gibbs	Mid-Pack	14.5	3.0%	20.3%	45.4%
18	Joey Logano	Mid-Pack	14.7	2.7%	18.8%	43.9%
19	Austin Cindric	Mid-Pack	15.4	2.2%	16.9%	41.0%
20	Erik Jones	Mid-Pack	16.7	1.7%	13.5%	36.0%
21	Casey Mears	Mid-Pack	16.9	1.4%	12.6%	34.6%
22	Michael McDowell	Mid-Pack	17.0	1.2%	11.6%	32.5%
23	Kyle Busch	Mid-Pack	17.0	1.1%	10.9%	31.6%
24	Austin Dillon	Mid-Pack	17.1	0.9%	10.3%	30.3%
25	Shane van Gisbergen	Mid-Pack	18.3	0.7%	8.5%	27.2%
26	A.J. Allmendinger	Mid-Pack	18.3	0.5%	7.5%	25.0%
27	Zane Smith	Dark Horse	19.1	0.5%	6.5%	22.5%
28	John Hunter Nemechek	Dark Horse	19.1	0.5%	6.7%	22.9%
29	Todd Gilliland	Dark Horse	19.1	0.4%	5.8%	21.1%
30	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Dark Horse	19.9	0.3%	4.6%	18.5%
31	Josh Berry	Dark Horse	22.9	0.2%	2.1%	10.8%
32	Connor Zilisch	Dark Horse	22.9	0.1%	2.0%	11.2%
33	Cole Custer	Dark Horse	22.9	0.1%	1.9%	11.2%
34	Katherine Legge	Dark Horse	21.4	0.1%	2.4%	13.2%
35	Noah Gragson	Dark Horse	21.4	0.1%	2.3%	12.7%
36	Riley Herbst	Dark Horse	21.4	0.1%	2.5%	13.9%
37	Ty Dillon	Dark Horse	23.4	0.1%	1.5%	8.7%
38	B.J. McLeod	Dark Horse	24.8	0.0%	0.9%	6.7%
39	Cody Ware	Dark Horse	56.1	0.0%	0.1%	1.3%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24

(1/5 top-5 hits)

38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races

History at Nashville Superspeedway

Truck Series data from 1995-2026 (5 races)

Recent Results

Year	Race	Winner	Margin	Laps Led
2025	NASCAR Truck Series at Nashville	Rajah Caruth	—	61
2024	NASCAR Truck Series at Nashville	Christian Eckes	—	150
2023	NASCAR Truck Series at Nashville	Carson Hocevar	—	40
2022	NASCAR Truck Series at Nashville	Ryan Preece	—	74
2021	NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Nashville	Ryan Preece	—	8

All Results at This Track

2025 Caruth 2024 Eckes 2023 Hocevar 2022 Preece 2021 Preece

Laps Led Leaders

Driver	Total Laps Led
Christian Eckes	150
Corey Heim	115
Rajah Caruth	62
Chandler Smith	48
Carson Hocevar	40

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Nashville Superspeedway reward the complete package — car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.