NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Indianapolis
Indianapolis Motor SpeedwayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick has 5 starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 21.2 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 9 starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 12.6 average finish.
- Denny Hamlin has 19 starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 average finish.
Based on O'Reilly Series results at Indianapolis Motor Speedway from 1982-2026.
Jimmie Johnson has won 4 times at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 average finish.
See Jimmie Johnson's full statsKyle Busch has led 687 laps at Indianapolis Motor Speedway — more than anyone else.
Kyle Busch's statsThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Indianapolis on?
The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Indianapolis airs on CW on Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Indianapolis Motor Speedway. All 2026 NASCAR Xfinity (O'Reilly Auto Parts) Series races air exclusively on The CW, which is free over-the-air with a digital antenna.
What time does the NASCAR Xfinity race start today?
The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Indianapolis green flag is set for 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, July 25, 2026, airing on CW. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 1517 | P13 |
| 2 | Daniel Suarez | 1497 | P27 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 1496 | P25 |
| 4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 1495 | P35 |
| 5 | Chris Buescher | 1493 | P14 |
| 6 | William Byron | 1493 | P16 |
| 7 | Tyler Reddick | 1488 | P29 |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 1486 | P9 |
| 9 | Ryan Blaney | 1485 | P7 |
| 10 | Bubba Wallace | 1483 | P1 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick Best in Field | 6.2 | 18.2% |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 17.8% |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 16.3% |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15.4% |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12.7% |
| 6 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 10.9% |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 9.6% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8.4% |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7.6% |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 6.4% |
| 11 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5.1% |
| 13 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 4.3% |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 3.8% |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 3.3% |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 3.0% |
| 18 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2.7% |
| 19 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 20 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 1.7% |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 1.4% |
| 22 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 1.2% |
| 23 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1.1% |
| 24 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 0.9% |
| 25 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 26 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 0.5% |
| 27 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 28 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 29 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 0.4% |
| 30 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 33 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Katherine Legge | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 0.1% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 56.1 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
History at Indianapolis Motor Speedway
O'Reilly Series data from 1982-2026 (9 races)
Recent Results
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Justin Allgaier | 65 |
| Cole Custer | 47 |
| Sam Mayer | 32 |
| Riley Herbst | 30 |
| William Byron | 26 |
Track Type Tendencies
Superspeedway races at Indianapolis Motor Speedway are defined by pack racing and drafting. Results are less predictable than any other track type — the field stays tight and late-race wrecks reshape the outcome.
Manufacturer strategy and drafting alliances matter as much as raw speed. Longshot winners are more common here than anywhere on the schedule.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership