Cup Series Preview

Toyota / Save Mart 350

Sonoma Raceway
Laps 110 Distance 219 mi Type road Coverage TNT · 3:30 PM ET Stages 25 / 55 / 110
1.99
MI
asphalt
Surface
Race Complete
Sunday, June 28, 2026
3:30 PM ET

Sonoma Raceway is a different kind of road course: 12 turns across 1.99 miles of rolling Northern California wine country, with elevation changes that feel more like a motocross track than a Cup stop. The configuration winds through the Carneros region with heavy braking into Turn 11's hairpin, high-commitment esses, and a blind crest at the top of the hill that separates the brave from the cautious. Cup stock cars have raced here since 1989, and the event has produced some of the best road course drivers in series history: Jeff Gordon won five times at Sonoma, Tony Stewart three, and Kyle Larson broke through with a dominant 2021 win that signaled his championship-season form. The track is narrow, passing zones are limited, and tire strategy over 110 laps often comes down to stretching fuel or pitting early for a short final run. The modern Cup field has produced several new road course aces (Ross Chastain, William Byron, and Chris Buescher all contending in recent years), making Sonoma a strategic puzzle where one bad restart can cost 10 positions and one patient lap can turn a race around.

The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Toyota / Save Mart 350 on?

The Toyota / Save Mart 350 airs on TNT on Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, broadcast from Sonoma Raceway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.

What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?

The Toyota / Save Mart 350 ran on Sunday, June 28, 2026 with a 3:30 PM ET green flag on TNT.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
#DriverElo RatingLast Finish
1Shane van Gisbergen
1598
P1
2Christopher Bell
1571
P5
3Chris Buescher
1553
P19
4Michael McDowell
1546
P9
5Chase Elliott
1542
P17
6Tyler Reddick
1539
P36
7Ryan Blaney
1525
P6
8William Byron
1525
P12
9A.J. Allmendinger
1524
P16
10Kyle Busch
1523
P10
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Predictions not yet available for this race.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Anduril 250: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P12

(1/5 top-5 hits)

37% top-5 hit rate across 13 races

History at Sonoma Raceway

Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (9 races)

Recent Results

Year Race Winner
2026 Toyota / Save Mart 350 Shane van Gisbergen
2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 Shane van Gisbergen
2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 Kyle Larson
2023 Toyota/Save Mart 350 Martin Truex, Jr.
2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 Daniel Suarez

All Results at This Track

Laps Led Leaders

Track Type Tendencies

road

Road course events at Sonoma Raceway favor a specific skillset: braking, corner entry, and road racing experience. Drivers with sports car or open-wheel backgrounds tend to overperform here.

Tire management and fuel strategy add an extra layer of complexity to race outcomes.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Martin Truex, Jr. 198 laps led
Shane van Gisbergen 171 laps led
Kyle Larson 118 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Consistency Plays
Kyle Busch 8.88 avg
Chase Elliott 9.78 avg

50%+ top-5 rate at this track

Value Picks
Kyle Busch 8.88 avg, 0 wins
Chase Elliott 9.78 avg, 0 wins
Chris Buescher 11.89 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership

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