Toyota/Save Mart 350
Sonoma Raceway — June 23, 2019
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
90
Laps
21
Entries
5
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway on June 23, 2019, leading 59 of 90 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 23, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +14 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 22 | +20 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 4 | 27 | +23 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 20 | +13 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Kyle Larson |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Clint Bowyer |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 13 | 13 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 4 | -10 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 38 | +23 | Daniel Hemric |
| 16 | 25 | +9 | Chris Buescher |
| 17 | 11 | -6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 18 | 1 | -17 | Brad Keselowski |
| 19 | 3 | -16 | William Byron |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | David Ragan |
| 37 | 6 | -31 | Chase Elliott |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| William Byron | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Kurt Busch | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Chase Elliott | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Erik Jones | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Kevin Harvick | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Alex Bowman | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Clint Bowyer | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 16.5 | 1 | +15.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 13.0 | 2 | +11.0 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 16.7 | 5 | +11.7 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 21.4 | 8 | +13.4 |
| 10 | Kyle Larson | 12.9 | 10 | +2.9 |
| 12 | Jimmie Johnson | 16.7 | 12 | +4.7 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 16.7 | 14 | +2.7 |
| 16 | Chris Buescher | 10.2 | 16 | -5.8 |
| 17 | Daniel Suarez | 16.8 | 17 | -0.2 |
| 18 | Brad Keselowski | 16.7 | 18 | -1.3 |
| 19 | William Byron | 11.5 | 19 | -7.5 |
| 37 | Chase Elliott | 7.2 | 37 | -29.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 7 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 15.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 8.9 avg finish, finishing P37 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 held?
The 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 was held at Sonoma Raceway on June 23, 2019.