Toyota/Save Mart 350
Sonoma Raceway — June 9, 2024
Kyle Larson
Winner
110
Laps
37
Entries
9
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway on June 9, 2024, leading 19 of 110 laps. Michael McDowell finished second; Chris Buescher rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +14 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 28 | +26 | Michael McDowell |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Chris Buescher |
| 4 | 4 | — | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 22 | +17 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Christopher Bell |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Todd Gilliland |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Corey LaJoie |
| 12 | 12 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 13 | 29 | +16 | Brad Keselowski |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Alex Bowman |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Zane Smith |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Carson Hocevar |
| 18 | 26 | +8 | Ryan Preece |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 8 | -12 | Bubba Wallace |
| 21 | 9 | -12 | Joey Logano |
| 22 | — | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 23 | — | — | Zane Smith |
| 24 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
| 25 | — | — | Ryan Preece |
| 26 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 27 | 2 | -25 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 28 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
| 29 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 30 | — | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 31 | — | — | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 32 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 33 | — | — | Riley Herbst |
| 34 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 35 | — | — | Parker Retzlaff |
| 36 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 37 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Joey Logano | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Daniel Suarez | 15 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Bubba Wallace | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | 11 | — | 8 |
| Chase Elliott | 6 | 10 | — | 6 |
| Tyler Reddick | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Michael McDowell | 29 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Chris Buescher | 8 | 25 | — | 3 |
| Carson Hocevar | 16 | 9 | — | 2 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Parker Retzlaff | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 28 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.9 | 1 | +11.9 |
| 2 | Michael McDowell | 13.0 | 2 | +11.0 |
| 3 | Chris Buescher | 10.2 | 3 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.2 | 4 | +3.2 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 16.2 | 5 | +11.2 |
| 6 | A.J. Allmendinger | 16.5 | 6 | +10.5 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 12.7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 8 | +3.2 |
| 9 | Christopher Bell | 7.2 | 9 | -1.8 |
| 10 | Todd Gilliland | 20.8 | 10 | +10.8 |
| 11 | Corey LaJoie | 21.4 | 11 | +10.4 |
| 12 | Kyle Busch | 13.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| 13 | Brad Keselowski | 16.7 | 13 | +3.7 |
| 14 | Daniel Suarez | 16.8 | 14 | +2.8 |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 16.7 | 15 | +1.7 |
| 16 | Zane Smith | 25.7 | 16 | +9.7 |
| 17 | Carson Hocevar | 21.4 | 17 | +4.4 |
| 18 | Ryan Preece | 16.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 21.4 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 20 | Bubba Wallace | 16.7 | 20 | -3.3 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 9 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 12.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 8.9 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350?
Kyle Larson won the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 held?
The 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 was held at Sonoma Raceway on June 9, 2024.