USG Durock 300
Chicagoland Speedway — January 1, 2005
Kevin Harvick
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
11
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2005 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2005, leading 20 of 200 laps. Greg Biffle finished second; Ryan Newman rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, January 1, 2005
Track
Season
2005
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Greg Biffle |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Ryan Newman |
| 4 | 9 | +5 | Carl Edwards |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Mark Martin |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Clint Bowyer |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Martin Truex Jr. |
| 8 | 28 | +20 | Matt Kenseth |
| 9 | 31 | +22 | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Reed Sorenson |
| 11 | 23 | +12 | Ashton Lewis |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Kasey Kahne |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Joe Nemechek |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Michael Waltrip |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Bobby Labonte |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 18 | 4 | -14 | J.J. Yeley |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Tony Raines |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | David Stremme |
| 21 | 37 | +16 | Casey Atwood |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Jason Keller |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | Jason Leffler |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Brent Sherman |
| 25 | 13 | -12 | Dave Blaney |
| 26 | 41 | +15 | Stanton Barrett |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Johnny Sauter |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Stacy Compton |
| 29 | 21 | -8 | Kenny Wallace |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | David Green |
| 31 | 42 | +11 | Randy LaJoie |
| 32 | 39 | +7 | Tim Fedewa |
| 33 | 7 | -26 | Elliott Sadler |
| 34 | 34 | — | Jerry Robertson |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Sterling Marlin |
| 36 | 3 | -33 | Kyle Busch |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | Jon Wood |
| 38 | 20 | -18 | Jeff Green |
| 39 | 26 | -13 | Jeremy Mayfield |
| 40 | 29 | -11 | Regan Smith |
| 41 | 40 | -1 | Justin Labonte |
| 42 | 25 | -17 | Aaron Fike |
| 43 | 43 | — | Steve Grissom |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 7 | +8.4 |
| 15 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 15 | -6.8 |
| 17 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 18 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 18 | +10.8 |
| 36 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 36 | -19.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 30 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 10.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P15 on the day.
- J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P18 vs predicted P29. Track history: 22 starts, 23.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2005 USG Durock 300?
Kevin Harvick won the 2005 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2005 USG Durock 300 held?
The 2005 USG Durock 300 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2005.