USG Durock 300

Chicagoland Speedway — January 1, 2005

Kevin Harvick
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
11
Leaders

Kevin Harvick won the 2005 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2005, leading 20 of 200 laps. Greg Biffle finished second; Ryan Newman rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, January 1, 2005
Season
2005
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 5 +4 Kevin Harvick
2 6 +4 Greg Biffle
3 1 -2 Ryan Newman
4 9 +5 Carl Edwards
5 10 +5 Mark Martin
6 24 +18 Clint Bowyer
7 16 +9 Martin Truex Jr.
8 28 +20 Matt Kenseth
9 31 +22 Paul Menard
10 19 +9 Reed Sorenson
11 23 +12 Ashton Lewis
12 2 -10 Kasey Kahne
13 17 +4 Joe Nemechek
14 11 -3 Michael Waltrip
15 18 +3 Denny Hamlin
16 14 -2 Bobby Labonte
17 8 -9 Jimmie Johnson
18 4 -14 J.J. Yeley
19 22 +3 Tony Raines
20 12 -8 David Stremme
21 37 +16 Casey Atwood
22 32 +10 Jason Keller
23 36 +13 Jason Leffler
24 30 +6 Brent Sherman
25 13 -12 Dave Blaney
26 41 +15 Stanton Barrett
27 33 +6 Johnny Sauter
28 27 -1 Stacy Compton
29 21 -8 Kenny Wallace
30 35 +5 David Green
31 42 +11 Randy LaJoie
32 39 +7 Tim Fedewa
33 7 -26 Elliott Sadler
34 34 Jerry Robertson
35 38 +3 Sterling Marlin
36 3 -33 Kyle Busch
37 15 -22 Jon Wood
38 20 -18 Jeff Green
39 26 -13 Jeremy Mayfield
40 29 -11 Regan Smith
41 40 -1 Justin Labonte
42 25 -17 Aaron Fike
43 43 Steve Grissom
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
7 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 7 +8.4
15 Denny Hamlin 8.2 15 -6.8
17 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 17 +2.9
18 J.J. Yeley 28.8 18 +10.8
36 Kyle Busch 17.0 36 -19.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kevin Harvick: has 30 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 10.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P15 on the day.
  • J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P18 vs predicted P29. Track history: 22 starts, 23.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2005 USG Durock 300?
Kevin Harvick won the 2005 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2005 USG Durock 300 held?
The 2005 USG Durock 300 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2005.