Sam's Town 300
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — January 1, 2007
Jeff Burton
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
12
Leaders
Jeff Burton won the 2007 Sam's Town 300 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007, leading 37 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Tony Stewart rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, January 1, 2007
Track
Season
2007
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Jeff Burton |
| 2 | 20 | +18 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 17 | +14 | Tony Stewart |
| 4 | 4 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | David Stremme |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Carl Edwards |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 8 | 30 | +22 | Bobby Labonte |
| 9 | 37 | +28 | Shane Huffman |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 11 | 32 | +21 | Jon Wood |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Denny Hamlin |
| 13 | 33 | +20 | Mike Wallace |
| 14 | 22 | +8 | Bobby Hamilton Jr. |
| 15 | 29 | +14 | Ward Burton |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Joe Nemechek |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | Steve Wallace |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Stephen Leicht |
| 19 | 36 | +17 | J.J. Yeley |
| 20 | 35 | +15 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 21 | 38 | +17 | Jay Sauter |
| 22 | 43 | +21 | Justin Diercks |
| 23 | 34 | +11 | Jeff Green |
| 24 | 41 | +17 | David Ragan |
| 25 | 9 | -16 | Dave Blaney |
| 26 | 42 | +16 | Eric McClure |
| 27 | 39 | +12 | Kyle Krisiloff |
| 28 | 10 | -18 | Kasey Kahne |
| 29 | 15 | -14 | Jamie McMurray |
| 30 | 3 | -27 | Reed Sorenson |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | David Reutimann |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | David Gilliland |
| 33 | 18 | -15 | Regan Smith |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | Brad Coleman |
| 36 | 13 | -23 | Paul Menard |
| 37 | 28 | -9 | Jason Leffler |
| 38 | 11 | -27 | Greg Biffle |
| 39 | 21 | -18 | Brent Sherman |
| 40 | 7 | -33 | Matt Kenseth |
| 41 | 5 | -36 | Clint Bowyer |
| 42 | 8 | -34 | Casey Mears |
| 43 | 40 | -3 | Brett Rowe |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 15.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 12 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 19 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 19 | +9.8 |
| 34 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 34 | -22.8 |
| 42 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 42 | -25.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Jeff Burton: has 26 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 52 starts, 11.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2007 Sam's Town 300?
Jeff Burton won the 2007 Sam's Town 300 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2007 Sam's Town 300 held?
The 2007 Sam's Town 300 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007.