Sam's Town 300

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — January 1, 2007

Jeff Burton
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
12
Leaders

Jeff Burton won the 2007 Sam's Town 300 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007, leading 37 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Tony Stewart rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Monday, January 1, 2007
Season
2007
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 6 +5 Jeff Burton
2 20 +18 Kyle Busch
3 17 +14 Tony Stewart
4 4 Kurt Busch
5 2 -3 David Stremme
6 19 +13 Carl Edwards
7 1 -6 Kevin Harvick
8 30 +22 Bobby Labonte
9 37 +28 Shane Huffman
10 14 +4 Marcos Ambrose
11 32 +21 Jon Wood
12 16 +4 Denny Hamlin
13 33 +20 Mike Wallace
14 22 +8 Bobby Hamilton Jr.
15 29 +14 Ward Burton
16 24 +8 Joe Nemechek
17 12 -5 Steve Wallace
18 23 +5 Stephen Leicht
19 36 +17 J.J. Yeley
20 35 +15 Juan Pablo Montoya
21 38 +17 Jay Sauter
22 43 +21 Justin Diercks
23 34 +11 Jeff Green
24 41 +17 David Ragan
25 9 -16 Dave Blaney
26 42 +16 Eric McClure
27 39 +12 Kyle Krisiloff
28 10 -18 Kasey Kahne
29 15 -14 Jamie McMurray
30 3 -27 Reed Sorenson
31 25 -6 David Reutimann
32 26 -6 David Gilliland
33 18 -15 Regan Smith
34 31 -3 Brad Keselowski
35 27 -8 Brad Coleman
36 13 -23 Paul Menard
37 28 -9 Jason Leffler
38 11 -27 Greg Biffle
39 21 -18 Brent Sherman
40 7 -33 Matt Kenseth
41 5 -36 Clint Bowyer
42 8 -34 Casey Mears
43 40 -3 Brett Rowe
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 15.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Kyle Busch 17.0 2 +15.0
12 Denny Hamlin 8.2 12 -3.8
19 J.J. Yeley 28.8 19 +9.8
34 Brad Keselowski 11.2 34 -22.8
42 Casey Mears 16.9 42 -25.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Jeff Burton: has 26 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
  • Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 52 starts, 11.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2007 Sam's Town 300?
Jeff Burton won the 2007 Sam's Town 300 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2007 Sam's Town 300 held?
The 2007 Sam's Town 300 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on January 1, 2007.