NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte

Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 24, 2009

David Reutimann

Winner

227

Laps

Entries

Leaders

David Reutimann won the 2009 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2009, leading 5 of 227 laps. Ryan Newman finished second; Robby Gordon rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Track

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Season

2009

Winner

David Reutimann

Leaders

10 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	21	+20	David Reutimann		227	—	Running	5	190
2	1	-1	Ryan Newman		227	—	Running	2	175
3	37	+34	Robby Gordon		227	—	Running	1	120
4	19	+15	Carl Edwards		227	—	Running	—	160
5	8	+3	Brian Vickers		227	—	Running	33	160
6	2	-4	Kyle Busch		227	—	Running	173	160
7	6	-1	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	227	—	Running	—	146
8	9	+1	Juan Pablo Montoya		227	—	Running	—	142
9	14	+5	Joey Logano		227	—	Running	1	143
10	30	+20	Matt Kenseth		227	—	Running	—	134
11	13	+2	Denny Hamlin		227	—	Running	—	130
12	20	+8	Bobby Labonte		227	—	Running	—	127
13	5	-8	Jimmie Johnson		227	—	Running	6	129
14	3	-11	Jeff Gordon		227	—	Running	—	121
15	10	-5	Bill Elliott		227	—	Running	—	118
16	26	+10	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	227	—	Running	—	115
17	4	-13	Mark Martin		227	—	Running	—	112
18	18	—	Scott Speed		227	—	Running	—	109
19	28	+9	Tony Stewart		227	—	Running	—	106
20	16	-4	Greg Biffle		227	—	Running	—	103
21	33	+12	Jamie McMurray		227	—	Running	—	100
22	35	+13	David Stremme	Dodge	227	—	Running	—	97
23	12	-11	Martin Truex, Jr.		227	—	Running	—	94
24	34	+10	David Ragan		227	—	Running	—	91
25	40	+15	Jeff Burton		227	—	Running	—	88
26	23	-3	Marcos Ambrose		227	—	Running	—	85
27	29	+2	David Gilliland		226	—	Running	—	82
28	25	-3	Dave Blaney		226	—	Running	2	84
29	31	+2	Paul Menard		226	—	Running	—	76
30	39	+9	Michael Waltrip		226	—	Running	1	78
31	15	-16	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	226	—	Running	—	70
32	38	+6	A.J. Allmendinger	Dodge	226	—	Running	—	67
33	36	+3	Casey Mears		226	—	Running	—	64
34	17	-17	Kurt Busch	Dodge	226	—	Running	—	61
35	42	+7	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	226	—	Running	—	58
36	24	-12	Clint Bowyer		226	—	Running	—	55
37	11	-26	Joe Nemechek		226	—	Running	—	52
38	43	+5	Scott Riggs		225	—	Running	3	54
39	41	+2	Tony Raines		225	—	Running	—	46
40	27	-13	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		225	—	Running	—	43
41	22	-19	Kevin Harvick		224	—	Running	—	40
42	32	-10	Max Papis		219	—	Running	—	37
43	7	-36	Mike Bliss	Dodge	42	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
6	Kyle Busch	17.0	6	+11.0	Coinflip
9	Joey Logano	14.7	9	+5.7	Coinflip
11	Denny Hamlin	8.2	11	-2.8	High Confidence
13	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	13	+6.9	Moderate
23	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	23	-7.6	Coinflip
32	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	32	-13.7	Moderate
33	Casey Mears	16.9	33	-16.1	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

David Reutimann: has 19 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 18.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P11 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.

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