NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Talladega
Talladega Superspeedway — April 25, 2010
Kevin Harvick
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
29
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway on April 25, 2010, leading 2 of 200 laps. Jamie McMurray finished second; Juan Pablo Montoya rounded out the podium. The race featured 29 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 25, 2010
Track
Season
2010
Winner
Leaders
29 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 21 | +19 | Jamie McMurray |
| 3 | 24 | +21 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Mark Martin |
| 6 | 26 | +20 | David Ragan |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Clint Bowyer |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Kyle Busch |
| 10 | 37 | +27 | Mike Bliss |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Carl Edwards |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 14 | 30 | +16 | David Reutimann |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Scott Speed |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Tony Stewart |
| 17 | 3 | -14 | Greg Biffle |
| 18 | 34 | +16 | Travis Kvapil |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 20 | 38 | +18 | Robby Gordon |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Kasey Kahne |
| 22 | 5 | -17 | Jeff Gordon |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Bobby Labonte |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 25 | 18 | -7 | Paul Menard |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | David Stremme |
| 28 | 2 | -26 | Matt Kenseth |
| 29 | 19 | -10 | Brian Vickers |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Kevin Conway |
| 31 | 1 | -30 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 32 | 8 | -24 | Jeff Burton |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Elliott Sadler |
| 34 | 25 | -9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 35 | 16 | -19 | Ryan Newman |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Joey Logano |
| 37 | 28 | -9 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Regan Smith |
| 39 | 43 | +4 | Michael Waltrip |
| 40 | 40 | — | Max Papis |
| 41 | 39 | -2 | Johnny Sauter |
| 42 | 41 | -1 | Joe Nemechek |
| 43 | 42 | -1 | Dave Blaney |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 9 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 9 | +6.1 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.1 | 12 | +8.1 |
| 19 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 19 | +1.1 |
| 31 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.9 | 31 | -12.1 |
| 34 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 34 | -18.0 |
| 36 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 36 | -15.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 50 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 15.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Kyle Busch: was the model’s top pick based on 54 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 18.1 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
- Denny Hamlin: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P16. Track history: 44 starts, 17.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Talladega?
Kevin Harvick won the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Talladega held?
The 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Talladega was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 25, 2010.