NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Michigan
Michigan International Speedway — August 19, 2012
Greg Biffle
Winner
201
Laps
43
Entries
13
Leaders
Greg Biffle won the 2012 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway on August 19, 2012, leading 26 of 201 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Kasey Kahne rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Greg Biffle |
| 2 | 19 | +17 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Kasey Kahne |
| 4 | 22 | +18 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Carl Edwards |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Clint Bowyer |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Ryan Newman |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Jamie McMurray |
| 15 | 30 | +15 | Travis Kvapil |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | Matt Kenseth |
| 18 | 36 | +18 | David Gilliland |
| 19 | 32 | +13 | Jeff Burton |
| 20 | 41 | +21 | Aric Almirola |
| 21 | 39 | +18 | David Reutimann |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Bobby Labonte |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | David Ragan |
| 24 | 6 | -18 | Trevor Bayne |
| 25 | 9 | -16 | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 27 | 3 | -24 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 28 | 11 | -17 | Jeff Gordon |
| 29 | 18 | -11 | Regan Smith |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Kurt Busch |
| 31 | 16 | -15 | Joey Logano |
| 32 | 14 | -18 | Tony Stewart |
| 33 | 40 | +7 | T.J. Bell |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | David Stremme |
| 35 | 1 | -34 | Mark Martin |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Joe Nemechek |
| 37 | 29 | -8 | Casey Mears |
| 38 | 42 | +4 | Dave Blaney |
| 39 | 43 | +4 | Mike Skinner |
| 40 | 34 | -6 | Josh Wise |
| 41 | 38 | -3 | Scott Riggs |
| 42 | 27 | -15 | Reed Sorenson |
| 43 | 33 | -10 | Jason Leffler |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 10 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 11 | -2.8 |
| 13 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 27 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 27 | -7.1 |
| 31 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 31 | -16.3 |
| 37 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 37 | -20.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Greg Biffle: has 39 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 13.9 avg finish (6 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P11 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Michigan?
Greg Biffle won the 2012 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Michigan at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Michigan held?
The 2012 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Michigan was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 19, 2012.