NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami
Homestead-Miami Speedway, November 15, 2014
Matt Kenseth
Winner
206
Laps
40
Entries
10
Leaders
Matt Kenseth won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 15, 2014, leading 52 of 206 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, November 15, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Matt Kenseth |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Regan Smith |
| 7 | 21 | +14 | Ty Dillon |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Elliott Sadler |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Brian Scott |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Trevor Bayne |
| 12 | 31 | +19 | Paul Menard |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Ross Chastain |
| 15 | 30 | +15 | T.J. Bell |
| 16 | 17 | +1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Chase Elliott |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | James Buescher |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 22 | 22 | — | Blake Koch |
| 23 | 18 | -5 | Mike Bliss |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | Jake Crum |
| 25 | 12 | -13 | Josh Berry |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Eric McClure |
| 27 | 11 | -16 | Ryan Reed |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Ryan Preece |
| 29 | 8 | -21 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | David Starr |
| 31 | 40 | +9 | Tanner Berryhill |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Carlos Contreras |
| 33 | 26 | -7 | John Wes Townley |
| 34 | 39 | +5 | Milka Duno |
| 35 | 23 | -12 | Landon Cassill |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | Ryan Sieg |
| 37 | 16 | -21 | Corey LaJoie |
| 38 | 36 | -2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 39 | 38 | -1 | Joey Gase |
| 40 | 34 | -6 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 3 | +10.1 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 7 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 8 | +7.4 |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 14 | +0.5 |
| 16 | J.J. Yeley | 28.6 | 16 | +12.6 |
| 17 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 17 | -6.9 |
| 25 | Josh Berry | 21.4 | 25 | -3.6 |
| 28 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 28 | -14.7 |
| 30 | David Starr | 21.0 | 30 | -9.0 |
| 37 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 37 | -14.8 |
| 39 | Joey Gase | 22.9 | 39 | -16.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Matt Kenseth: has 33 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.6 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 18 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.6 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P23. Track history: 18 starts, 19.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami?
Matt Kenseth won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Homestead-Miami was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 15, 2014.