NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE
Martinsville Speedway — October 30, 2016
Jimmie Johnson
Winner
500
Laps
40
Entries
9
Leaders
Jimmie Johnson won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE at Martinsville Speedway on October 30, 2016, leading 92 of 500 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 30, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 2 | 19 | +17 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Matt Kenseth |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Jeff Gordon |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Jamie McMurray |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Kasey Kahne |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 25 | +12 | Greg Biffle |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Kyle Larson |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Aric Almirola |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Ryan Newman |
| 17 | 32 | +15 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Michael McDowell |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 20 | 20 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Casey Mears |
| 22 | 23 | +1 | Kurt Busch |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Trevor Bayne |
| 24 | 24 | — | Danica Patrick |
| 25 | 18 | -7 | Paul Menard |
| 26 | 6 | -20 | Tony Stewart |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Chris Buescher |
| 28 | 28 | — | Clint Bowyer |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | 21 | -9 | Regan Smith |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Dylan Lupton |
| 32 | 27 | -5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Brian Scott |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Michael Annett |
| 36 | 7 | -29 | Carl Edwards |
| 37 | 12 | -25 | David Ragan |
| 38 | 34 | -4 | Reed Sorenson |
| 39 | 36 | -3 | Gray Gaulding |
| 40 | 39 | -1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 1 | +16.7 |
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 3 | +3.8 |
| 5 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 5 | +10.6 |
| 7 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 7 | +6.8 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 9 | +3.1 |
| 10 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 10 | +8.3 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 12 | -3.7 |
| 14 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 14 | -5.4 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 17 | 0.0 |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 18 | -3.0 |
| 19 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 19 | -12.2 |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 21 | -3.0 |
| 27 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 27 | -16.7 |
| 40 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 40 | -19.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Jimmie Johnson: has 36 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 8.7 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 47 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (8 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE?
Jimmie Johnson won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 30, 2016.