NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT DARLINGTON
Darlington Raceway — September 4, 2016
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
367
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway on September 4, 2016, leading 28 of 367 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 4, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 5 | — | Joey Logano |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Matt Kenseth |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Kasey Kahne |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Ryan Newman |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 12 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Ryan Blaney |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Jeff Gordon |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 31 | +14 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 3 | -16 | Carl Edwards |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | Regan Smith |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | David Ragan |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Clint Bowyer |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Danica Patrick |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Casey Mears |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Michael McDowell |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Michael Annett |
| 29 | 40 | +11 | Josh Wise |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | Landon Cassill |
| 31 | 39 | +8 | Reed Sorenson |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Aric Almirola |
| 33 | 9 | -24 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Kurt Busch |
| 35 | 17 | -18 | Tony Stewart |
| 36 | 23 | -13 | Greg Biffle |
| 37 | 36 | -1 | Cole Whitt |
| 38 | 38 | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 39 | 34 | -5 | Brian Scott |
| 40 | 19 | -21 | Trevor Bayne |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 1 | +14.4 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 5 | +9.7 |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 9 | +2.2 |
| 10 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 10 | -2.2 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 11 | +6.0 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 13 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 17 | -7.8 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 23 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 23 | -4.7 |
| 25 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 25 | -8.1 |
| 27 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 27 | -10.0 |
| 33 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 33 | -13.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 25 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT DARLINGTON?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT DARLINGTON held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT DARLINGTON was held at Darlington Raceway on September 4, 2016.