NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MICHIGAN
Michigan International Speedway — June 12, 2016
Joey Logano
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway on June 12, 2016, leading 138 of 200 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 12, 2016
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 29 | +24 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Carl Edwards |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Tony Stewart |
| 8 | 8 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Jamie McMurray |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Kurt Busch |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Ryan Newman |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Kasey Kahne |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Trevor Bayne |
| 16 | 16 | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 17 | 5 | -12 | Ryan Blaney |
| 18 | 32 | +14 | Paul Menard |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Greg Biffle |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Chris Buescher |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Danica Patrick |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | David Ragan |
| 23 | 34 | +11 | Clint Bowyer |
| 24 | 21 | -3 | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Aric Almirola |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Cole Whitt |
| 28 | 39 | +11 | Michael Annett |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Josh Wise |
| 31 | 40 | +9 | Reed Sorenson |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | Casey Mears |
| 33 | 4 | -29 | Denny Hamlin |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 35 | 33 | -2 | Regan Smith |
| 36 | 26 | -10 | Brian Scott |
| 37 | 38 | +1 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 38 | 20 | -18 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 39 | 27 | -12 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 40 | 9 | -31 | Kyle Busch |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 8 | +9.1 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 12 | +3.4 |
| 16 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 17 | -7.8 |
| 20 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 20 | -10.8 |
| 24 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 24 | -0.6 |
| 29 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 29 | -9.1 |
| 32 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 32 | -15.1 |
| 33 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 33 | -24.8 |
| 38 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 38 | -19.7 |
| 40 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 40 | -23.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 37 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MICHIGAN?
Joey Logano won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MICHIGAN at Michigan International Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MICHIGAN held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MICHIGAN was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 12, 2016.