NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 27, 2017
Ryan Blaney
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 27, 2017, leading 107 of 200 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 27, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 39 | +33 | Brad Keselowski |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Brennan Poole |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 10 | 10 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Ryan Reed |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | Justin Allgaier |
| 13 | 4 | -9 | Daniel Hemric |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | William Byron |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Ross Chastain |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Brandon Jones |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Ty Dillon |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Blake Koch |
| 20 | 40 | +20 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Casey Mears |
| 22 | 24 | +2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 23 | 35 | +12 | Joey Gase |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | Garrett Smithley |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Ben Kennedy |
| 26 | 19 | -7 | Matt Tifft |
| 27 | 16 | -11 | Ryan Sieg |
| 28 | 14 | -14 | Bubba Wallace |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Todd Bodine |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | David Starr |
| 32 | 32 | — | Cale Conley |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Alex Labbe |
| 34 | 37 | +3 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 35 | 12 | -23 | Elliott Sadler |
| 36 | 23 | -13 | Michael Annett |
| 37 | 20 | -17 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 38 | 28 | -10 | Timmy Hill |
| 39 | 38 | -1 | Carl Long |
| 40 | 30 | -10 | Stephen Leicht |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 3 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 3 | +14.1 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 6 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 6 | +5.2 |
| 7 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| 8 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 8 | +16.7 |
| 10 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 10 | -3.8 |
| 12 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 14 | William Byron | 10.7 | 14 | -3.3 |
| 15 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 15 | -1.7 |
| 18 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 18 | +5.4 |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 21 | -4.1 |
| 22 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 22 | +6.8 |
| 23 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 23 | +0.4 |
| 28 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 28 | -15.3 |
| 29 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 29 | -4.2 |
| 31 | David Starr | 20.9 | 31 | -10.1 |
| 38 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 38 | -14.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 21 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
- Brennan Poole: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P25. Track history: 11 starts, 22.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Ryan Blaney won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 27, 2017.