NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI
Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 18, 2017
Cole Custer
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
2
Leaders
Cole Custer won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 18, 2017, leading 182 of 200 laps. Sam Hornish Jr. finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 2 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, November 18, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
2 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Cole Custer |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | William Byron |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 5 | 5 | — | Ryan Preece |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Brennan Poole |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Matt Tifft |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Elliott Sadler |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Michael Annett |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Ty Majeski |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Casey Mears |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Justin Allgaier |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Brandon Jones |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Corey LaJoie |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Blake Koch |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Ben Kennedy |
| 19 | 28 | +9 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Ryan Reed |
| 21 | 13 | -8 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 22 | 21 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 27 | 22 | -5 | Joe Nemechek |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Josh Williams |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Joey Gase |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Chad Finchum |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | David Starr |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Daniel Hemric |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Stephen Leicht |
| 36 | 3 | -33 | Christopher Bell |
| 37 | 34 | -3 | Timmy Hill |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | John Graham |
| 39 | 31 | -8 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 40 | 40 | — | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 1 | +21.9 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.7 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 5 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 5 | +5.1 |
| 6 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 6 | +18.7 |
| 11 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 11 | +5.9 |
| 12 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 15 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 15 | +7.2 |
| 17 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 17 | -3.7 |
| 22 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 22 | +6.8 |
| 29 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 29 | -5.6 |
| 30 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 30 | -3.6 |
| 32 | David Starr | 20.9 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 33 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 33 | -8.2 |
| 36 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 36 | -25.3 |
| 37 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 37 | -13.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Cole Custer: has 8 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 6.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI?
Cole Custer won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 18, 2017.