NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO
Pocono Raceway — June 10, 2017
Brad Keselowski
Winner
100
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway on June 10, 2017, leading 29 of 100 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 10, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Elliott Sadler |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Cole Custer |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Daniel Hemric |
| 10 | 31 | +21 | Matt Tifft |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Bubba Wallace |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | William Byron |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Michael Annett |
| 14 | 16 | +2 | Ryan Reed |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Brennan Poole |
| 16 | 1 | -15 | Kyle Benjamin |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 14 | -4 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | J.J. Yeley |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 21 | 40 | +19 | Casey Mears |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Dylan Lupton |
| 23 | 19 | -4 | Ryan Sieg |
| 24 | 24 | — | Ross Chastain |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | David Starr |
| 26 | 23 | -3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | 12 | -15 | Blake Koch |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Josh Williams |
| 29 | 29 | — | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 30 | 30 | — | Timmy Hill |
| 31 | 9 | -22 | Paul Menard |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Spencer Boyd |
| 34 | 39 | +5 | Mike Harmon |
| 35 | 35 | — | Garrett Smithley |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | Brandon Jones |
| 37 | 27 | -10 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 39 | 38 | -1 | Carl Long |
| 40 | 28 | -12 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 5 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 5 | +9.0 |
| 7 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| 8 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 8 | +15.4 |
| 11 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 11 | +1.7 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.7 | 12 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 15 | +9.7 |
| 19 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 19 | +9.8 |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 21 | -4.1 |
| 24 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 24 | -10.7 |
| 25 | David Starr | 20.9 | 25 | -4.1 |
| 26 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 26 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 30 | -6.1 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 32 | -8.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 31 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P12 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P18. Track history: 14 starts, 16.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO?
Brad Keselowski won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO was held at Pocono Raceway on June 10, 2017.