NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA
Daytona International Speedway — July 6, 2018
Kyle Larson
Winner
105
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway on July 6, 2018, leading 39 of 105 laps. Elliott Sadler finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, July 6, 2018
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Christopher Bell |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 38 | +33 | Kaz Grala |
| 6 | 14 | +8 | Shane Lee |
| 7 | 36 | +29 | Timmy Hill |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Daniel Hemric |
| 9 | 9 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Michael Annett |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Brandon Jones |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Ryan Truex |
| 14 | 35 | +21 | Chad Finchum |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Alex Labbe |
| 16 | 25 | +9 | J.J. Yeley |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | Spencer Boyd |
| 18 | 40 | +22 | Justin Haley |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Vinnie Miller |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Matt Tifft |
| 21 | 37 | +16 | Mike Harmon |
| 22 | 39 | +17 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Jeff Green |
| 24 | 28 | +4 | Josh Williams |
| 25 | 3 | -22 | Cole Custer |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Ryan Reed |
| 27 | 18 | -9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 28 | 22 | -6 | Garrett Smithley |
| 29 | 11 | -18 | Chase Elliott |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Brandon Hightower |
| 31 | 8 | -23 | Tyler Reddick |
| 32 | 20 | -12 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 23 | -10 | Austin Cindric |
| 34 | 19 | -15 | Jeremy Clements |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | David Starr |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | B.J. McLeod |
| 37 | 26 | -11 | Blake Jones |
| 38 | 24 | -14 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 39 | 1 | -38 | Ryan Preece |
| 40 | 33 | -7 | Josh Bilicki |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 1 | +17.5 |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 3 | +14.4 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 4 | +9.9 |
| 7 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 7 | +15.8 |
| 9 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 9 | +12.1 |
| 10 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 10 | +7.4 |
| 13 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 13 | +7.5 |
| 14 | Chad Finchum | 22.9 | 14 | +8.9 |
| 16 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 16 | +9.2 |
| 18 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 18 | +5.4 |
| 25 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 25 | -1.6 |
| 29 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 29 | -18.6 |
| 31 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 31 | -17.4 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 32 | -8.3 |
| 33 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 33 | -12.9 |
| 35 | David Starr | 21.1 | 35 | -13.9 |
| 36 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 36 | -10.5 |
| 39 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 39 | -17.9 |
| 40 | Josh Bilicki | 25.5 | 40 | -14.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 29 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P29 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA?
Kyle Larson won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA was held at Daytona International Speedway on July 6, 2018.