NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 26, 2018
Brad Keselowski
Winner
204
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2018, leading 77 of 204 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 26, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 2 | — | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Christopher Bell |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Ty Dillon |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Ryan Truex |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Daniel Hemric |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 19 | +10 | Matt Tifft |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Kaz Grala |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 12 | 25 | +13 | Michael Annett |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Ryan Sieg |
| 14 | 36 | +22 | Garrett Smithley |
| 15 | 5 | -10 | Brandon Jones |
| 16 | 8 | -8 | Austin Cindric |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Joey Gase |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Joe Nemechek |
| 19 | 37 | +18 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 20 | 35 | +15 | David Starr |
| 21 | 33 | +12 | Spencer Boyd |
| 22 | 11 | -11 | Ty Majeski |
| 23 | 4 | -19 | Tyler Reddick |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 25 | 38 | +13 | Josh Bilicki |
| 26 | 18 | -8 | Ross Chastain |
| 27 | 39 | +12 | Brandon Hightower |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Vinnie Miller |
| 29 | 40 | +11 | Ryan Reed |
| 30 | 24 | -6 | Timmy Hill |
| 31 | 12 | -19 | Jamie McMurray |
| 32 | 10 | -22 | Justin Allgaier |
| 33 | 23 | -10 | Dylan Lupton |
| 34 | 27 | -7 | Alex Labbe |
| 35 | 20 | -15 | Jeremy Clements |
| 36 | 22 | -14 | J.J. Yeley |
| 37 | 6 | -31 | Chase Elliott |
| 38 | 34 | -4 | Josh Williams |
| 39 | 29 | -10 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 30 | -10 | B.J. McLeod |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 4 | +19.4 |
| 6 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 8 | +9.0 |
| 11 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 16 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 16 | -0.6 |
| 17 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 17 | +6.4 |
| 20 | David Starr | 20.9 | 20 | +0.9 |
| 23 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 23 | -16.8 |
| 25 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 25 | +3.6 |
| 26 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 26 | -12.7 |
| 30 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 30 | -6.1 |
| 32 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 32 | -13.7 |
| 36 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 36 | -7.2 |
| 37 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 37 | -29.2 |
| 40 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 40 | -15.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 45 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P23 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 15.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Brad Keselowski won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2018.